CBB Sharp Report: Wiseguys Betting Saint Louis-St Joseph’s, Two Other Friday Games
Saint Joseph’s Hawks head coach Phil Martelli. Credit: Derik Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports
- Wiseguys are betting three College Basketball games on Friday, headlined by Saint Louis-St Joseph's (7 p.m. ET on ESPN2).
- Sharps are also getting down on Niagara-Marist (7 p.m. ET on ESPN+) and Kent-Akron (9 p.m. ET on ESPNU).
- Using the tools available at the The Action Network, we analyze how pros are betting each game.
Wiseguys suffered a disappointing 1-3 night on Thursday, as Indiana and Arizona never showed up and the Gonzaga under lost in late heartbreaking fashion. Sharps will look to bounce back tonight and recoup their losses ahead of tomorrow’s massive Saturday slate.
After analyzing Friday’s short 12-game board using the betting tools available at Sports Insights and The Action Network, I’ve identified three games that pros are targeting, with start times of 7 p.m. and 9 p.m. ET.
>> All data as of 2:45 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time college basketball odds and track your bets.
Betting Terms to Know
Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.
Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.
Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting, but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side.
Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay sportsbooks in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettor would have to wager $115 to win $100.
Saint Louis @ St Joseph’s
7 p.m. ET | ESPN2
Sharp angle: Over (moved from 129.5 to 134)
In the most heavily bet game of the night, recreational bettors don’t know which way to go with this Atlantic 10 over/under, but sharps have taken a clear position.
This total opened at a low 133.5. Early under betting dropped the line down to 129.5. That’s when wiseguys hammered the over at a deflated “value” price.
Using our Sports Insights Bet Signals, we tracked two big steam moves on the over 130.5 and over 132. This influx of smart money forced oddsmakers to adjust the line all the way up to 134.
The over also enjoys a massive smart money discrepancy — only 52% of bets are taking the over, but it accounts for a 74% of dollars. This signals big sharp wagers united on a higher-scoring game.
Niagara @ Marist
7 p.m. ET | ESPN+
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 146.5 to 144.5)
It’s a misconception that wiseguys and average Joes are always on opposite sides. While it’s somewhat rare, it does happen from time-to-time.
This MAAC over/under opened at 146.5. Sharps immediately hammered the under, triggering massive market-wide steam that dropped the total down to 144.5. Some books are even showing 144.
Currently 63% of bets and 90% of dollars are on the under, indicating a mix of casual $5 bets but also heavy smart money from respected players.
Sharps might also be eyeing the fist half under (69.5) as well, as it fits the Bet Labs PRO system 1st Half Under with High Total (58%, 9.8% ROI since 2005).
Kent @ Akron
9 p.m. ET | ESPNU
Sharp angle: Over (moved from 132.5 to 134.5)
Sharps and squares (casual bettors who bet for fun) are on completely different sides of this MAC over/under.
The total opened at 134. Heavy public action (58% of bets on the under) dropped the total down to 132.5. Wiseguys pounced on this deflated line, hammering the over four separate times across the market.
Sharps got down hard on the over 133 once, then the over 134 three more times, triggering a plethora of steam and reverse line moves.
The over is only getting 42% of bets but 72% of dollars, further evidence of smart money taking the over.