Freedman’s Favorite Duke-UCF Player Prop Bets: Zion Williamson’s Points and More

Each day, I publish at least one quick-n’-dirty piece highlighting a favorite prop of mine. See my master list of 2019 prop bets for more information.

Also follow me in The Action Network app, where each day I post additional official player prop picks.

In this piece I’m going to highlight my favorite NCAA Tournament player props for the Duke-Central Florida game. For more information, check out my piece on my March Madness prop-betting strategy.

You also should look at our live betting odds page for up-to-the-minute lines.

2019 Year-to-Date Record

346-284-12, +44.14 Units

• NFL: 21-13-0, +11.72 Units
• NBA: 198-154-4, +26.06 Units
• NHL: 66-80-7, -7.57 Units
• Golf: 4-7-1, -2.35 Units
• NASCAR: 5-8-0. -1.70 Units
• NCAAB: 29-19-0. +6.35 Units
• NCAAF: 0-1-0. -1.00 Units
• Exotic: 23-2-0. +12.64 Units

#1 Duke vs. #9 UCF

• Spread: Duke -13.5
• Over/Under: 143.0
• Time: 5:15 p.m. ET
• TV: CBS

Zion Williamson Over 24.5 points (-115)

The ACC Player of the Year is averaging 26.5 points on 35.3 minutes per game in the postseason and has yet to play fewer than 30 minutes in a game since his return from injury.

I'll be honest: This isn't the most +EV bet on the board, but there's no way I'm not betting on the Blue Devil I've affectionately dubbed "Milk & Honey."

He is the chosen one.

Terrell Allen Over 5.5 points (-115)

Allen is fifth in scoring for the Knights with 6.8 points per game, so he's not an overly exciting player, but he's a locked-in starter who saw 35 minutes of action in Round 1.

Down the stretch, Allen has been one of UCF's key contributors. With 35, 23, 37, 33, 37 and 31 minutes in his past six games, Allen is highly likely to see 30-plus minutes against Duke: He played only 23 minutes in UCF's lone conference tournament game because of foul trouble.

In his 19 games with 30-plus minutes, Allen has averaged 7.9 points per game.

Matthew Freedman is the Editor-in-Chief of FantasyLabs. He has a dog and sometimes a British accent. In Cedar Rapids, Iowa, he’s known only as The Labyrinthian.