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Freedman’s Favorite UNC-Duke Prop: Will Zion Williamson Score 24 Points?

Feb 20, 2019 3:55 PM EST
Credit:

Matt Cashore-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Zion Williamson

  • Matthew Freedman continues his series featuring one of his favorite prop bets for each day of 2019.
  • On Wednesday, he looks at Duke-North Carolina (9 p.m. ET on ESPN) and the points prop for Zion Williamson.

Each day, I publish at least one quick-n’-dirty piece highlighting a favorite prop of mine. See my master list of 2019 prop bets for more information.

Also follow me in The Action Network app, where each day I post additional, official player prop picks.

2019 Year-to-Date Record

112-92-9, +22.69 Units

  • NFL: 21-13-0, +11.72 Units
  • NBA: 42-33-2, +5.30 Units
  • NHL: 38-39-6, +2.98 Units
  • Golf: 3-4-1, -0.50 Units
  • NASCAR: 3-2-0. +1.55 Units
  • NCAAF: 0-1-0. -1.00 Units
  • Exotics: 5-0-0. +2.64 Units

Freedman’s Favorite College Basketball Prop for Wednesday, Feb. 20: Zion Williamson Over/Under 23.5 Points

  • Over 23.5: -110
  • Under 23.5: -110

I admit that I don’t regularly bet on college basketball. And I’ve never written about it.

But tonight we have North Carolina at Duke (9 p.m. ET on ESPN), and some sportsbooks have released player props. So, yeah, I’m betting on and writing about the game.

And let’s be real: There’s no way I’m not taking a side on the points prop for Zion Williamson. I haven’t watched one game of college basketball this entire season — but I’m watching this game tonight, just to see Williamson in action.

And you know I’m taking the over.

Zion has upped his game in the second half of the season. Before Christmas break, he averaged 19.8 points on 26.2 minutes per game.

But since then, when the calendar flipped over to 2019 and Duke started playing against conference opponents, Zion has 24.8 points on 32.1 minutes per game. In the 13 games in the new year, Williamson has scored 24-plus points nine times.

And this is a massive rivalry game: Unless there’s a blowout, Williamson is likely to see full playing time, and I don’t see him bringing anything less than his best.

I wouldn’t bet this higher than 23.5, but I’d be willing to bet the over to -120.

The Pick: Over 23.5 (-110)


Matthew Freedman is the Editor-in-Chief of FantasyLabs. He has a dog and sometimes a British accent. In Cedar Rapids, Iowa, he’s known only as The Labyrinthian.

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