Duke-Virginia Betting Guide: Blue Devils Have Some Advantages in Rematch


USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Kyle Gay and Zion Williamson

Feb 09, 2019, 05:15 PM EST

Duke-Virginia Betting Odds

  • Odds: Virginia -2
  • Total: 135.5
  • Time: 6 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN

>> All odds as of 8 a.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and win probabilities on your bets.

Round 2. Here we go.

The nation’s No. 2 and No. 3 teams meet on Saturday when Duke travels to Charlottesville to take on Virginia. The Blue Devils won the first meeting three weeks ago, but failed to cover thanks to a meaningless last-second shot by the Cavaliers (that maybe shouldn’t have counted).

Both teams have been perfect since. But can Virginia even the score?

Market Moves for Duke-Virginia

The market is at -2 for this game after a little bit of bouncing around between -1.5 to -2.5 overnight.

Duke closed -4 at home against UVA in their last meeting, so books have the Blue Devils rated slightly higher. — Steve Petrella

Trends to Know

Under coach Tony Bennett, Virginia has dominated great teams against the spread. The Hoos are 51-29 (63.8%) ATS when facing teams with a winning percentage of 75% or better, profiting bettors 19.1 units. In that spot, Bennett is the second-most profitable coach behind only John Calipari. — Evan Abrams

When Virginia Has the Ball: Positive Regression Coming?

In the first matchup at Duke, the Cavaliers suffered through their worst 3-point shooting night of the season — an abysmal 17.6% (3 of 19). While Duke’s defense ranks eighth nationally (28.8%) against the 3-pointer, many of those shot were wide-open. The Hoos should be much more efficient at home.

The biggest offensive advantage for the Cavaliers is at the free-throw line, where they shoot 76.1% as a team. In the first matchup, Virginia only shot 64.7% (11 of 17). They also allowed Duke to attempt 31 free throws. It is reasonable to assume this discrepancy evens out in Charlottesville.

The offensive keys for UVA will be to improve efficiency from beyond the arc and the free throw line, which should come naturally. — Mike Randle

When Duke Has the Ball