Updated Final Four, National Title Projections & Chances: Virginia, MSU the Favorites to Win it All

Updated Final Four, National Title Projections & Chances: Virginia, MSU the Favorites to Win it All article feature image
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Mike Carter-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Michigan State Spartans forward Xavier Tillman (23), forward Thomas Kithier (15).

  • Michigan State, Auburn, Virginia and Texas Tech are going to the 2019 Final Four.
  • Below we'll detail the Final Four and National Championship odds for each of the remaining teams in the 2019 NCAA Tournament.

We're in the business portion of the 2019 NCAA Tournament — just four teams and three games remain.

Here's the schedule for the Final Four:

  • #1 Virginia vs. #5 Auburn — 6:09 p.m. ET on Saturday
  • #2 Michigan State vs. #3 Texas Tech — 8:49 p.m. ET on Saturday

Which of the Final Four teams has the best chance to ultimately cut down the nets? We used Sean Koerner's proprietary projections to help answer that question. You can access these full projections and make spreads for every game in our bracket simulator.

2019 Final Four, National Title Projections & Chances

The teams below are listed from the best odds to win the title to the worst. Scroll to the bottom of this article for a full round-by-round sortable table. All figures current as of the Duke-Michigan State result. 


#1 Virginia National Title Projections

  • Finals: 69.1%
  • Win Championship: 39.6%

#2 Michigan State National Title Projections

  • Finals: 59%
  • Win Championship: 30.9%

#3 Texas Tech National Title Projections

  • Finals: 41%
  • Win Championship: 17.9%

#5 Auburn National Title Projections

  • Finals: 30.9%
  • Win Championship: 11.6%

Final Four, National Championship Projections & Chances for Every Remaining Team

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Sean Treppedi
Mar 28, 2024 UTC