Florida State vs. Duke Betting Odds, Trends: Bettors Avoiding Blue Devils In Historic Fashion
Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images. Pictured: Head coach Mike Krzyzewski of the Duke Blue Devils
On Saturday, the Duke Blue Devils needed a miracle to survive against rival North Carolina, and that game appears to be sticking in the minds of bettors.
Duke is an 8-point favorite at home over Florida State on Monday night, but bettors are falling over themselves to take the Seminoles.
At the time of writing, an incredible 84% of spread bets are on the road underdogs in a game that is attracting heavy action.
Duke has only received less than 25% of bets once in 542 games since 2005 — a 101-87 home loss to eventual national champion North Carolina in 2009.
Odds as of Monday at 2:45 p.m. ET and via DraftKings, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500.
Does this make Duke a good contrarian candidate? Or are the masses on the right side of this matchup?
Thanks to our Bet Labs data, we can quickly analyze how favorites receiving such little public support have performed historically against the spread (ATS).
Let’s look at the numbers.
Florida State vs. Duke Betting Trends
Since 2005, college basketball favorites getting less than 25% of spread bets are 167-127-4 (56.8%) ATS.
Based on this data, it appears that there is an overreaction taking place based on Duke’s most recent game. That’s in turn providing an edge in tonight’s game.
Please note that there is still plenty of time for more action to come in and affect the current betting percentages and potentially push the numbers out of this sweet spot.