Houston-Georgia State Betting Odds: Opening Spread, Analysis for 2019 NCAA Tournament

Houston-Georgia State Betting Odds: Opening Spread, Analysis for 2019 NCAA Tournament article feature image
Credit:

Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Houston Cougars guard Corey Davis Jr. (5).

#3 Houston vs. #14 Georgia St. NCAA Tournament Betting Odds

  • Spread: Houston -12.5
  • Over/Under: 143
  • Date: Friday, March 22
  • Time: 7:20 p.m. ET
  • Location: Tulsa, Ok.
  • TV: TBS

Houston’s Statistical Profile

With a 29-2 overall record and 16-2 in conference, the Houston Cougars took the regular season American Atheltic Conference crown. While ranking as KenPom’s 13th-best team in terms of of Adjusted Efficiency Margin, there are serious — and valid — questions regarding what to expect from Kelvin Sampson’s squad.

With just the 96th-toughest strength of schedule in the country — worst of KenPom’s top 20 teams — the Cougars played just two teams ranked at the time of their meeting: Oregon and Cincinnati (twice). And in the American Atheltic Conference Tournament championship game, Houston got beat handily by those Bearcats, 69-57. — PJ Walsh

  • Record: 31-3
  • Adj. Efficiency Rank: 13
  • Adj. Offensive Efficiency Rank: 19
  • Adj. Defensive Efficiency Rank: 17
  • Tempo Rank: 236

All advanced metrics via KenPom as of Friday, March 15


Georgia State’s Statistical Profile

At 13-5 in Sun Belt play, Georgia State was the top seed in their conference tournament and beat #2 Texas State in relatively convincing fashion Sunday. Though they took care of their Sun Belt foes, they didn’t do a ton outside of their conference.

They didn’t have much of a chance, either, as their one game against a ranked opponent was a 12-point loss at Kansas State. They did have two fairly impressive wins, with one coming against East Tennessee State (#69 in the nation per KenPom) and at Alabama (#60).

This is their fifth NCAA Tournament berth and third of the decade. Last year, they were knocked out in the first round by #2 Cincinnati, but back in 2015, they upset #3 Baylor as a #14 seed. Down by two with the clock running down, R.J. Hunter hit a deep three to give them a one point win. Will they have any magic like that up their sleeves again this year? — Mark Gallant

  • Record: 23.9
  • Adj. Efficiency Rank: 121
  • Adj. Offensive Efficiency Rank: 95
  • Adj. Defensive Efficiency Rank: 165
  • Tempo Rank: 75

All advanced metrics via KenPom as of Friday, March 15


Sean Koerner’s Houston-Georgia State Projections

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