Iowa vs. Indiana Betting Preview (Feb. 13): Odds, Line Movement & Pick

Credit:

G Fiume/Maryland Terrapins/Getty Images. Pictured: Rob Phinisee

Feb 13, 2020, 03:24 PM EST

Iowa vs. Indiana Betting Odds

  • Odds: Indiana -2 [Bet Now]
  • Over/Under: 149
  • Time: 8 p.m. ET
  • TV: Big Ten Network

Odds as of Thursday at 3:15 p.m. ET. In Indiana? Check out FanDuel, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500.


Line Movement for IU-Iowa

A 1-point spread has turned into -2 in favor of the Hoosiers throughout the day Thursday, as Indiana has taken on the brunt of both bets and money.

Fifty-seven percent of bettors accounting for 55% of actual dollars have landed on the short favorite, and oddsmakers appear to value their opinions based on how they’ve reacted. They may not, however, be done adjusting this line.

According to The Action Network’s Line Predictor tool, Indiana is given a 93% chance to reach -2.5, and many books are already trending that way by juicing up the -2 option to -115.

Expert Pick on the Spread

By Eli Hershkovich

This line might appear off to the casual eye, as the Hoosiers have lost their last four games outright and against the spread. The Hawkeyes have gone 2-2 ATS over that stretch, including a 24-point home win vs. Nebraska on Saturday.

But expect an angry Indiana team to come out the gates and attack the glass after getting outrebounded in their past two games, and Archie Miller’s bunch has a size advantage to top it off.

The Hoosiers own the No. 1 defensive rebounding rate in Big Ten play, so it’s in position to control the tempo and push the pace.

Iowa’s attack thrives off getting offensive rebounds (38th-highest offensive rebounding rate) to create open looks from their 3-point gunners, along with getting to the line.

Luka Garza — a Naismith Player of the Year candidate — is at the center of its efforts, tallying the 65th-highest offensive rebounding rate individually. But if the Hoosiers revert back to their old ways in the rebounding department, Fran McCaffrey will have plenty to scream about.

The Hawkeyes biggest defensive weakness is defending inside the arc, so Indiana would be wise to get forwards Trayce Jackson-Davis and Joey Brunk going around the rim early. It’s no coincidence that Brunk hasn’t scored in double figures during the Hoosiers’ recent slide.

I’m considering this a buy-low spot for the Hoosiers.

Pick: Indiana -1.5  [Bet now at FanDuel. NJ, PA, IN and WV only.]

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