Kansas vs. Baylor Betting Picks, Odds & Predictions: Are the Jayhawks Undervalued on the Road?


Jamie Squire/Getty Images. Pictured: Devon Dotson and Mark Vital.

  • In perhaps the college basketball game of the year, the No. 1 Baylor Bears will host the No. 3 Kansas Jayhawks at 12 p.m. ET (ESPN).
  • Our power ratings have Kansas as the better team, which is why Baylor is only a small -1.5 favorite on the spread at home.
  • See how our experts are betting the spread and over/under for this marquee matchup below.

Kansas vs. Baylor Odds

  • Odds: Baylor -1.5
  • Over/Under: 127
  • Time: 12 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN

You may not have expected Kansas vs. Baylor to be a matchup of top three teams before the season, but the Bears just keep winning.

Saturday, the Jayhawks will look to avenge a January home loss to Baylor and snap its 23-game winning streak.

Odds as of Saturday morning and via DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks.

Odds Moves for Kansas-Baylor

While Baylor is the No. 1 team in the AP Poll, Kansas is the top team in our power ratings, nearly three points better than Baylor on a neutral court.

That’s why the Bears are only a short favorite here. Baylor opened at -2.5 at MGM and -2 everywhere else, and is down to -1.5 at a lot of shops as of 7:30 a.m. ET.

Betting action is split evenly, with 52% of tickets and 54% of money on Baylor. — Steve Petrella

When Baylor Has the Ball

The Bears are no slouch on offense, ranking top 25 in adjusted efficiency and fielding a national top 5 ranking in offensive rebounding. Baylor was out rebounded in its first matchup with Kansas, but managed to shoot 42% from 3-point range.

The Bears may not be as effective from long range in this one, as their conference 3-point shooting has shrunk to 32.6% since the turn of the year.

Baylor has the best offensive steal rate in the Big 12 as ball protection will be paramount. Kansas had double digit blocks in their first meeting.

Baylor’s Achilles Heel on offense is blocks with a rank of 351st in all Division I. The key to a Baylor victory is to stay hot from outside, continue to deny turnovers and avoid having to go to the paint for points against Kansas’s elite interior defense. — Collin Wilson

When Kansas Has the Ball

The Jayhawks are 11th in adjusted offensive efficiency and seem to do most everything better than anyone else in the nation. Sophomore Devon Dotson is the front runner for Player of the Year, while Udoka Azubuike is considered the best big man in college hoops.

Kansas is 15th nationally in 2-point percentage with a point distribution rank of 40th nationally from that range. In short, Kansas loves to score in the paint and is backed by one of the best rebounding rates in the Big 12.

This game will come down to ball protection, much like in the previous loss to Baylor on Jan. 11.

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