Monday College Basketball Betting Data: Mid-Major Underdogs Bet Down
James Snook-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Mississippi Valley State coach Andre Payne
On a small college basketball slate, bettors are surprisingly backing some small conference underdogs and moving the lines as a result.
We’ll examine The Action Network’s market data to see whether there are any profitable contrarian opportunities, betting system matches and more below. This data is not a blind endorsement of these teams, but a good starting point.
Most Public Bets
As of 3 p.m. ET. Minimum 1,000 bets.
- Howard +1 (81%) at Morgan State
- Mississippi Valley State +18 (76%) at Texas Southern
- Delaware State +8 (74%) at Coppin State
- Florida State -11.5 (73%) vs. Notre Dame
- Montana -6.5 (62%) vs. Northern Colorado
Three underdogs on this list — Howard, MVSU and Delaware State — have all been bet down at least half a point. MVSU moved from +20.5 to +18.
Biggest Betting Ticket/Money Discrepancies
We track both betting tickets on a given game and the percentage of money that’s been bet on each side. If there’s a big discrepancy, there’s likely some sharper, larger bets on the opposite side.
Here are the three biggest discrepancies for Monday as of 3 p.m. ET. This data will change as we get closer to tip offs (Minimum 1,000 bets).
Northern Colorado +6.5 at Montana
- 9 p.m. ET
- 38% of tickets, 51% of money
- 13% difference
- Line move: Northern Colorado +7 to +6.5
Coppin State -8 vs. Delaware State
- 7:30 p.m. ET
- 25% of tickets, 34% of money
- 9% difference
- Line move: Delaware State +9.5 to +8
Kansas -5 vs. Kansas State
- 9 p.m. ET
- 61% of tickets, 69% of money
- 8% difference
- Line move: Kansas -3.5 to -5
EDGE subscribers can get the rest of the biggest ticket/money differences here.
Bet Labs Pro Trend
Over at Bet Labs, we’ve created historically profitable betting systems for every sport. Tonight, there is one game that fits a profitable user-generated systems:
Good Defense, Slow Paced Underdog
There are a handful of filters on this system, which applies to Northern Colorado +6.5 against Montana. The theory is that underdogs with good defenses and slow paces can cover big spreads because points will come at a premium.
It’s hit at 57.5% since 2005 for an 11.6% ROI.
You can create your own betting systems, and get access to all our PRO systems, by signing up for a trial of Bet Labs here.
Sharp Money Indicators
Each day, we’ll highlight one game from our sharp report page that has multiple indicators of sharp action.
Monday is the night Morgan State finally breaks through, according to our betting data. The Bears have lost five straight games by a combined 16 points.
Morgan State is getting almost no public support, but a few sharp indicators have been triggered.
EDGE subscribers can get full access to our sharp report page here.