Monday College Basketball Betting Odds & Picks: Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia, Texas Southern vs. Alcorn State
Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Bob Huggins and Brandon Knapper
The best college hoops game on the Monday Night slate will tip off in Stillwater, Okla., where two Big 12 rivals will both try to rebound off conference losses.
West Virginia lost a close battle at Kansas and will try to earn a tough conference road win against an Oklahoma State team that was drubbed at Texas Tech by over 30 points.
We also examine Texas Southern, which is looking to move to 2-0 in SWAC play after facing its usual brutal non-conference schedule.
Let’s see which teams have the betting edge.
Monday College Basketball Odds & Picks
Odds as of Monday morning and via FanDuel, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500.
Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia
- Spread: West Virginia -1.5
- Over/Under: 138
- Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
- TV: ESPN2
Oklahoma State (9-4) is coming off an embarrassing 35-point loss at Texas Tech. The Cowboys have lost four of their past six games, including consecutive home games to Georgetown and Wichita State. They are only 6-7 against the spread, including 2-5 at home.
No. 16 West Virginia (11-2) is coming off a tough road loss at No. 3 Kansas, 60-53. The Mountaineers have played well on the road, including wins at Pittsburgh and Youngstown State. They are only 7-6 ATS but have covered four of their past five games including the loss against the Jayhawks.
Mountaineers head coach Bob Huggins has won four of his past five games in Stillwater.
However, West Virginia isn’t an offensive juggernaut that will blow anyone out.
The Mountaineers rank 244th in 3P, 230th in 2P, and 293rd in free throw shooting. WVU has been winning games with defense and rebounding.
Oklahoma State’s record is misleading because of the extended absence of starting point guard Isaac Likekele (11.9 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 4.6 apg). The sophomore guard missed four games in December while recovering from mononucleosis. He has returned for two games but scored just two points in the Cowboys loss at Texas Tech.
Both teams are strong defensively, with the Cowboys ranking 36th in adjusted defensive efficiency and the Mountaineers ranking No. 2. Both teams are also stout at defending the 3P, but West Virginia is superior, allowing opponents to only shoot at a 24.9% rate.
If Likekele was at full strength, this would be a great opportunity for the Cowboys to grab a home conference win. However, until he returns to the level he played at early in the season, Oklahoma State is hampered.
In their loss at Texas Tech, the Cowboys were outrebounded 31-19 while turning the ball over 14 times. That is a bad combination against the Mountaineers, who excel defensively in both areas.
I’m taking WVU to cover the small spread on the road against an Oklahoma State team that is just not back at full health. West Virginia’s suffocating defense from beyond the arc combined with its rebounding advantage should be enough to get Bob Huggins another win in Stillwater.
The Pick: West Virginia -1.5
Texas Southern vs. Alcorn State
- Spread: Texas Southern -11
- Over/Under: 146.5
- Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
Texas Southern (4-10) is known for playing one of the most challenging non-conference schedules in the nation, and this year was no exception. The Tigers played true road games at Wichita State, Gonzaga, Nevada, Oregon, and Arizona State. They came out a respectable 6-6-1 against the spread.
Alcorn State (4-8) has struggled all season, with their four wins all coming at home against NAIA opponents.
Texas Southern is on the hunt for its sixth SWAC Conference title in the past 10 years. Head coach Johnny Jones believes in pushing the pace, ranking 16th in adjusted tempo per KenPom.
Alcorn State struggles with turnovers, ranking 314th in the country with a 22.7 offensive turnover percentage. It’s also the worst team in the country in 2P% with an anemic 38.7% from 2P. They aren’t much better from 3P, ranking 299th with a 29.6% team 3P average.
I expect Texas Southern senior guard Tyrik Armstrong to continue his stellar all-around play, as he averages 14.8 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 4.9 apg, while shooting 38.7% from 3P and 81.1% from the free throw line.
Alcorn State has benefitted from playing teams that have only shot 65.7% from the FT, which will change against the Tigers on their home court.
I’m taking the battle-tested Texas Southern team to move to 2-0 in the SWAC with a convincing win over the Braves.
The Pick: Texas Southern -11
Mike Randle is 953-910-46 overall betting on college basketball. You can follow him in our free app.