Monday College Basketball Betting Previews: Boise State-Creighton, Arizona State-Mississippi State

Nov 19, 2018 10:58 AM EST
Credit:

Billy Hurst-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Mississippi State Bulldogs guard Quinndary Weatherspoon (11).

College basketball’s non-conference tournaments continue to tip off, including the Cayman Islands Classic and the MGM Resorts Main Event during Thanksgiving week.

Boise State-Creighton and Arizona State-Mississippi State present some value in their respective brackets. Let’s breakdown which teams to bet on.


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Betting odds: Boise State vs. Creighton

  • Spread: Creighton -5
  • Over/under: 145
  • Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV: Stadium

The Bluejays (0-3 against the spread) allowed Ohio State to go on a late 13-0 run Thursday and the Buckeyes pulled out a 69-60 win in Omaha. This game represents a solid bounce-back spot for Creighton, which can expose the Broncos (0-2 ATS) from the perimeter.

Greg McDermott’s unit owns a 56.7% Effective Field Goal Percentage — thanks to its 46.0% 3-point percentage — the 12th-highest in Division I. Boise State has allowed its opponents to shoot 38.5% from deep. Bluejays guards Ty-Shon Alexander (47.4%) and Mitch Ballock (40.0%) should excel in that department, especially if they’re able to leak out in transition.

The Broncos are adjusting to losing their two best scorers (Chandler Hutchison, Christian Sengfelder) from last season, averaging 0.97 Points Per Possession after totaling 1.06 PPP in the 2017-18 campaign.

Creighton holds its own on that end of the floor, ranking No. 53 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Moreover, Boise State has scored 54.3% of its points inside the arc, where the Bluejays have been at their best with their position-less lineup.

According to our Bet Labs data, Creighton is 21-14-0 ATS (60.0%) over the past two-plus regular seasons when laying at least five points. Expect that trend to continue.

THE PICK: Creighton -5

Betting odds: Mississippi State vs. Arizona State

  • Spread: Mississippi -3.5
  • Over/under: 149.5
  • Time: 11 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPNU

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