UPDATED: Freedman’s Favorite Friday NCAA Tournament Player Props
Credit: Kirby Lee, USA Today Sports
- Matthew Freedman continues his series featuring one of his favorite prop bets for each day of 2019.
- On Friday, he runs through the NCAA Tournament slate of games & highlights the points props he likes.
Each day, I publish at least one quick-n’-dirty piece highlighting a favorite prop of mine. See my master list of 2019 prop bets for more information.
Also follow me in The Action Network app, where each day I post some official player prop picks.
In this piece I’m going to highlight my favorite NCAA Tournament player props for some of the Mar. 22 games. For more information, check out my piece on my March Madness prop-betting strategy.
You also should look at our live betting odds page for up-to-the-minute lines.
I will make some updates to this piece throughout the day, but I might not get to more than a few games: It’s hard to research college basketball when I’m watching college basketball.
2019 Year-to-Date Record
323-268-12, +40.92 Units
- NFL: 21-13-0, +11.72 Units
- NBA: 190-148-4, +25.88 Units
- NHL: 66-80-7, -7.57 Units
- Golf: 4-7-1, -2.35 Units
- NASCAR: 5-8-0. -1.70 Units
- NCAAF: 0-1-0. -1.00 Units
- NCAAB: 14-9-0. +3.30 Units
- Exotic: 23-2-0. +12.64 Units
#7 Cincinnati vs. #10 Iowa
- Spread: Cincinnati -4.5
- Over/Under: 137.0
- Time: 12:15 p.m. ET
- TV: CBS
Tyler Cook: Over 11.5 points (-115) – Although the Hawkeyes have averaged 78.3 points per game, their team total vs. Cincinnati is just 66.0, so we should expect to see depressed scoring. Still, Cook led Iowa this year with 14.9 points, 10.3 field-goal attempts, 6.2 free-throw attempts and 30.9 minutes played. The forward should see enhanced playing time in a must-win situation, and in his 10 games with 35-plus minutes, he’s averaged 18.0 points.
Isaiah Moss: Over 7.0 points (-115) – This isn’t expected to be a high-scoring game, but this line is just way too low for a starter averaging 9.1 points in 24.0 minutes per game. Moss has scored at least seven points in 63.6% of his games. And in his 19 starts with at least 24 minutes, he’s averaged 12.4 points and scored fewer than seven points just twice.
Keith Williams: Over 8.0 points (-115) – Williams is second on the Bearcats in scoring with 10.1 points per game, and I expect him to play more than the 25.7 minutes he’s averaged this season. In Cincy wins, Williams has averaged 10.3 points, and in his 21 games with 25-plus minutes he’s scored 11.8 points per game.
#8 Ole Miss vs. #9 Oklahoma
- Spread: PK
- Over/Under: 142.5
- Time: 12:40 p.m. ET
- TV: truTV
Christian James: Over 12.0 points (-115) – James has failed to surpass 12 points in 10 of his past 12 games, so one could argue that this line is too high, but I still like the over. For the season, the guard has led the Sooners with 14.4 points and 33.0 minutes per game, and I expect him to play heavily in what’s expected to be a tight contest. In his 15 games with 25-plus minutes, James has averaged 16.1 points.
Mike Reynolds: Under 5.0 points (-115) – In the first half of the season, Reynolds was given a little run as a starter, but in the second half of the year he’s been coming off the bench, averaging just 3.9 points on 15.4 minutes per game. In Oklahoma’s one-point loss to West Virginia in the conference tournament, he saw increased playing time, but he still played only 20 minutes and scored just two points.
#4 Kansas State vs. #13 UC Irvine
- Spread: Kansas State -3.5
- Over/Under: 118.5
- Time: 2 p.m. ET
- TV: TBS
Max Hazzard: Over 10.5 points (-115) – The Anteaters have averaged 72.9 points per game, but their team total against Kansas State is only 57.5, so we should lower our overall expectations. But even so, this line is too low. We’re not expecting a blowout, so Hazzard isn’t at risk of losing playing time, and he leads the team with 12.5 points and 26.1 minutes per game. In fact, I’d expect more playing time, and in his eight games with 30-plus minutes, he’s averaged 16.4 points.
Barry Brown: Over 13.5 points (-115) – The senior guard leads the Wildcats with 14.9 points and 35.2 minutes per game, and in the team’s 25 wins he’s averaged 16.2 points. He’s played no fewer than 38 minutes in each of his past five games, and in his 13 games with 38-plus minutes he’s averaged 16.2 points.
#2 Tennessee vs. #15 Colgate
- Spread: Tennessee -17.5
- Over/Under: 146.5
- Time: 2:45 p.m. ET
- TV: CBS
Rapolas Ivanauskas: Under 15.0 points (-115) – The game total opened at 151.5 but has steady dropped since while the spread has held steady at -17.5, which means the market is really not expecting points from Colgate. The Raiders have a team total of 64.5, while they averaged 75.8 points per game. Ivanauskas leads the team with 16.4 points per game, but in the team’s 10 losses he’s averaged just 14.1 points. And in the four losses against teams from upper-tier conferences, he’s had just 9.5 points and had fewer than 15 in each game.
#1 Virginia vs. #16 Gardner-Webb
- Spread: Virginia -22.0
- Over/Under: 128.0
- Time: 3:10 p.m. ET
- TV: TruTV
Kyle Guy: Under 19.0 points (-115) – I love the under. The guard leads the Cavaliers with 15.6 points and 34.5 minutes per game, but his average is well short of the prop, and I doubt he’ll approach his usual playing time in what’s likely to be a blowout victory. In the team’s 15 wins of 20-plus points, Guy has averaged just 15.9 points.