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Thursday College Basketball Betting Data: Profitable System Matches SoCon Game

Feb 21, 2019 5:05 PM EST
Credit:

Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Cole Gentry

College basketball bettors are treading lightly after a monster Wednesday slate and with the NBA’s return on Thursday.

Still, there may be some value on the board.

We’ll examine The Action Network’s market data to see whether there are any profitable contrarian opportunities, betting system matches and more below.

First, a primer on what this piece offers:

  • A quick snapshot into the many betting tools The Action Network has to offer.
  • A good place to start when navigating a large college basketball slate.

It is not …

  • An endorsement to blindly bet any of these games.

All betting data comes from our public betting page (ticket count is free, but money percentages are available only to EDGE subscribers).

Betting trends are available for free in The Action Network app, while more advanced betting systems are available to Sports Insights subscribers via Bet Labs.

Most Public Bets

As of 4 p.m. ET. Minimum 1,000 bets.

  1. Charleston -2 (71%) at William & Mary
  2. Hofstra -14.5 (69%) vs. Towson
  3. BYU -3.5 (69%) vs. San Fransisco
  4. Georgia State -2 (68%) at Appalachian State
  5. Oregon State +2 (67%) at UCLA

Biggest Betting Ticket/Money Discrepancies

We track both betting tickets on a given game and the percentage of money that’s been bet on each side. If there’s a big discrepancy, there’s likely some sharper, larger bets on the opposite side.

Here are the three biggest discrepancies for Thursday as of 4 p.m. ET. This data will change as we get closer to tip offs (Minimum 1,000 bets).

Wright State -14 vs. Cleveland State

  • 7 p.m. ET
  • 50% of tickets, 87% of money
  • 37% difference
  • Line move: None

James Madison +11.5 at Northeastern

  • 7 p.m. ET
  • 61% of tickets, 91% of money
  • 30% difference
  • Line move: JMU +13.5 to +11.5

William & Mary +2 vs. Charleston

  • 7 p.m. ET
  • 29% of tickets, 54% of money
  • 25% difference
  • Line move: Charleston -1.5 to -2

EDGE subscribers can get the rest of the biggest ticket/money differences here.

Bet Labs Pro Trend

Over at Bet Labs, we’ve created historically profitable betting systems for every sport. Tonight, there are 12 games that fit PRO and profitable user-generated systems, including this one:

Fade Good Teams After ATS Loss

This system is among our best in any sport. It’s gone 140-76-6 (64.8%) ATS since 2005, with a whopping 25% ROI. It’s 10-3 ATS this season.

A match requires a team that’s won at least 69% of its contests and is getting at least 75% of betting tickets in its first game after a loss.

Tonight, it applies to Western Carolina (+16.5) at UNC Greensboro.

You can create your own betting systems, and get access to all our PRO systems, by signing up for a trial of Bet Labs here.


Sharp Money Indicators

Each day, we’ll highlight one game from our sharp report page that has multiple indicators of sharp action.

Thursday night, Mercer has moved from -2 to -3 behind a steam move and some reverse line movement.

Mercer is just 9-17 entering this matchup with 16-11 Samford, but the Bears did beat the Bulldogs 93-87 last month.

EDGE subscribers can get full access to our sharp report page here.

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