West Virginia at Baylor Betting Odds, Pick, Prediction: Will Mountaineers Keep it Close Against the No. 1 Bears?

Credit:

John E. Moore III/Getty Images. Pictured: Taz Sherman

  • West Virginia is a 5.5-point underdog at Baylor on Saturday according to updated odds from FanDuel, with the total at 130.5.
  • Baylor hasn't lost since its second game of the season, while WVU is coming off consecutive losses to Oklahoma and Kansas.
  • See how our staff is picking this Big 12 showdown below.

West Virginia at Baylor Odds

  • Spread: Baylor -5.5 [In WV? Bet Now]
  • Over/Under: 130
  • Time: 4 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN+

Odds as of Saturday morning and via FanDuel, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500.


Baylor hasn’t lost since Nov. 8, and enters this home date with West Virginia at 22-1.

But these two teams are rated pretty closely despite WVU’s consecutive losses.

Who has the edge on Saturday afternoon? Let’s dive in.

Odds Movement for WVU-Baylor

Sharp money has moved West Virginia from +6 to +5.5 on Saturday morning. Baylor is getting 70% of the bets but just 53% of the money, partially explaining the line move.

We also tracked Reverse Line Movement in Sports Insights’ Bet Signals dashboard on the over, moving the line from 129.5 to 130.5. — Steve Petrella

Sharp Movement on West Virginia

As a relatively short favorite, the No. 1 ranked team in the country is having no trouble attracting the majority of bets today, especially considering its home-court advantage.

Sixty-nine percent of bets have landed on Baylor, which opened as a 6-point favorite, but even behind that support, the line has fallen away from the Bears. They’re now listed -5.5 across the market.

Helping West Virginia’s cause has been the 51% of actual money generated by the points takers. While that doesn’t lead to any monetary liabilities, it does tell us that bigger bettors — the ones more likely to be sharps — are on the Mountaineers.

A Sports Insights Bet Signal, triggered at +6, has confirmed sharp action to be at the root of the cause for the reverse line movement.

Sharp angle: West Virginia (moved from +6 to +5.5) Danny Donahue

[In West Virginia? Bet Now at FanDuel.]

Stuckey’s Play

This excerpt is part of Stuckey’s 10 favorite situational spots. The full piece is available to Action Network EDGE members. 

It’s a classic Bob Huggins spot after back-to-back losses. Expect a fully focused and relentless defensive effort from the Mountaineers against the No. 1 team in the country.

I’ve said all year that Baylor still looks vulnerable against teams with size and West Virginia has length for days. The Mountaineers should eat up the offensive glass — where they rank No. 1 in the nation in terms of OR% — against a Baylor team that ranks 229th in defensive rebounding percentage.

The West Virginia length should also bother Baylor on the other side of the ball, as well. And when the Bears can get out in transition, which is where they’re most efficient offensively, they will have to score against one of the best transition defenses in the country. WVU only allows 0.834 points per possession in transition, which ranks 13th nationally.

This one should be close throughout, so I’ll gladly grab the six points in a matchup of two teams who struggle from the line.

[Bet now at FanDuel. NJ, PA, IN and WV only.]

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