Wisconsin vs. Indiana Betting Odds & Pick: Can the Badgers Remain Red-Hot?

It's a premier Saturday in the college basketball world, with 92 games set to tip off starting at 12 p.m. ET.

Hopefully you have the day off. Maybe you're in self-imposed quarantine.

With the Big Ten ending its regular season schedule this weekend, there's one marquee matchup in the early window providing an intriguing betting angle.

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Wisconsin v. Indiana Odds

• Spread: Indiana -2 [In Indiana? Bet Now]
• Over/Under: 129
• Time: 12 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN

Winners of seven straight, Wisconsin (20-11, 13-6) is a single win away from clinching at least a share of the Big Ten title. Indiana (19-11, 9-10) is trying to hang on to an NCAA Tournament bid.

Wisconsin could be a public play given these stakes, but let's lay out the sharp case for Indiana.

First, the Hoosiers are at home. Home teams are winning over two-thirds (68.4%) of Big Ten games this season. It’s also Senior Day at Assembly Hall. Expect Bloomington to be rocking.

Second, coach Archie Miller and company really need a win here. Joe Lunardi of ESPN’s Bracketology has the Hoosiers as one of the last four teams in the tournament. A win against a ranked Wisconsin team could go a long way in ensuring Indiana gets its first tournament bid in Miller’s tenure.

And sure, Wisconsin has won seven straight. It's impressive. But is it all that surprising? The Badgers were favored in six of those seven games. Five of the games on this win streak were at home. One of their road wins was at Nebraska.

In Wisconsin’s most impressive win during this streak — a Feb. 27 victory at Michigan — the Badgers shot 58% from the field, including 47.8% from behind the arc.

They got hot. And before Wisconsin fans get mad at me for discrediting their team's impressive push to the top of the Big Ten standings, I'll say that they very well could stay hot. Even through March.

But there's a reason why Wisconsin is so streaky — 38.6% of the Badgers total points are from 3-pointers. That’s an extremely high 3-point distribution rate (top 40 in the country), and illustrates how dependent the Badgers can be on long range shooting.

Conversely, Indiana has a 22.6% 3-point distribution rate. They aren’t a great shooting team (or even a great offensive team, for that matter) but they rely on a more consistent brand of inside-the-arc offense. They also get to the free-throw line a ton.

The Hoosiers have a Free Throw Rate of 40.2, which is top 25 in the country.

When you combine a road team needing to make threes to win, and a home team that consistently gets to the line, it’s usually a recipe for a win.

Be your own sharp and pick the Hoosiers to win by at least a possession.

Pick: Indiana -2 [Bet now at PointsBet. Indiana and NJ only.]