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2019 National Championship Betting Guide: How Much Separates Alabama, Clemson?

Jan 07, 2019 6:25 PM EST
Credit:

USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Clemson Tigers football coach Dabo Swinney and Alabama Crimson Tide coach Nick Saban

2019 National Championship Betting Odds: Alabama-Clemson

  • Odds: Alabama -5.5
  • Over/Under: 58.5
  • Time: 8 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN
  • Location: Santa Clara, Calif.

>> All odds as of Sunday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time college football odds and win probabilities.


In one of the chalkiest college football seasons of the last decade, we’re hoping the chalk can deliver a memorable national title game.

Unbeaten and No. 1 faces unbeaten and No. 2 Clemson on Monday night at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif. The Tide are a 5.5-point favorite, an almost identical point spread to the previous two national championship meetings between the Tide and Tigers.

They’ve met in each of the last three College Football Playoffs, splitting the national title games in 2016 and 2017 before Alabama dominated last year’s Sugar Bowl semifinal.

Just how far apart are these teams in Clemson-Bama IV? Let’s dive in.

How Odds Have Moved for Clemson-Alabama

By Danny Donahue

Alabama has been the more popular bet in this game, drawing a 57% backing. Bigger bettors, however, seem to be favoring the Tigers, as evidenced by the 51% of money they’ve generated on 43% of bets. That’s caused oddsmakers to drop this line from the opening number of -6.5 to -5.5, and even -5 at some books.

An almost identical story is taking place on the total. While only 41% of bettors are behind the under, they’ve accounted for 51% of actual money being wagered, and this number has fallen from 60.5 to 58.5.

National Championship Trends to Know 

By John Ewing

Dabo Swinney is 18-10 against the spread as an underdog, including 7-1 ATS in postseason games. In the past 10 games as a dog, Clemson has won six outright.

By Evan Abrams

Alabama is -3 on the first half line. Under Nick Saban, Alabama is 21-6-1 (77.8%) against the first half spread when favored by a field goal or less, or listed as an underdog.

Turf Trouble

By Steve Petrella

The under at Levi’s Stadium — which hasn’t fixed its horrid field conditions in its five years of existence — is 36-23 (61%) in college and NFL games. Athleticism isn’t always on full display on that grass.

The under is 5-6 in college games there, but the two games this season have seen a combined 29 points (Michigan State-Oregon, Washington-Utah).

Rain is also expected all weekend in Santa Clara, though it’s supposed to stop mid-day on Monday. This field could be an absolute mess.

Stuckey’s Pick: Where Is Alabama Weak?

By Stuckey