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Wilson: A Deep Dive Into South Point’s CFB Games of the Year

May 25, 2018 3:55 PM EDT

The dominoes continue to fall in the college football futures market. Offshore books like BetDSI, 5Dimes and Betonline have slowly released team win totals and Week 1 lines, trying to stay ahead of the South Point in Las Vegas. Bookmaker Chris Andrews released his Week 1 numbers Monday, with the Game of the Year lines slated for Thursday morning.

It has become an annual event to see the first college numbers produced from the sharp Andrews and South Point. I already hopped on an opening week underdog with Miami over at 5Dimes in anticipation of South Point’s Week 1 releases. As I anticipated, Mr. Andrews has the Hurricanes listed at -3 in their opener against LSU.

Let’s take a look at the specific games scheduled for release by South Point by month. For reference, I will include my numbers, S&P+ and ESPN FPI spreads based on power ratings. I’ll also follow with a few relevant nuggets to note. Every chart will get updated with the South Point numbers upon release for ease of comparison.

(Note:  Home-field advantage differs by team per power rating.  I personally weight my home-field numbers using a 15-year against-the-spread sample.)

 


September Game of the Year Lines

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Credit:

Alabama Crimson Tide quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (13). Credit: John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports

Follow Collin Wilson on Twitter
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SCHEDULE
OPEN
CURR
# BETS
59
-4
58.5
-3.5
64.5
-11
66.5
-8
52
-3
53.5
-4
48
PK
47.5
+1
50.5
-7.5
50.5
-6.5
-2.5
44
-2.5
43.5
55
-4.5
54
-3
-3
54.5
-2.5
55.5
-6
66.5
-5.5
68.5
48
-11
48.5
-12
-2.5
73
-5
74
67.5
-5
65.5
-3
-3
53.5
-2.5
52.5
-1.5
57.5
PK
60
55
-3.5
55
-3
61
-3.5
60
-3.5
41
-2
40.5
PK
56.5
-3
55
-3.5
-3
47
-4
47
-6.5
55
-3.5
55.5
54.5
-5
54.5
-3.5
-7
74
-1.5
68
54.5
-6.5
54.5
-3.5
50.5
-6
50.5
-7.5
-6.5
55
-4
54.5
-2
58.5
-1.5
60.5
56
-11
55
-12
79
-13.5
81.5
-14
-6.5
53.5
-5
53.5
-6.5
52
-6.5
52
48
-1.5
48
-3
-10
71
-8
74
45
-6.5
46.5
-7
58.5
-4.5
58.5
-5.5
-5
44.5
-7
44
-8
54.5
-7.5
55.5
48
-4
47.5
-6.5
58.5
-5
58
-6.5
58
-10.5
58
-11.5

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