Sunday Morning Coffee: Week 6 CFB Projections

Sunday Morning Coffee: Week 6 CFB Projections article feature image

Welcome to Sunday Morning Coffee, a short look at college football projected lines before release in Las Vegas or offshore. This weekly column examines where the point spread should open or trend. Hangover, overlook and general box score notes from the week’s previous action will be captured to help any college football investor get action on a number.

If you plan to hit openers, take a look at the projected point spreads for Week 6:

Date Away Home CW Line
Oct 4 Arkansas State Georgia Southern GASO +7.5
Oct 5 Louisville NC State NCST +3.5
Oct 6 Boise State BYU BYU +4
Oct 6 Memphis UConn CONN +17.5
Oct 7 Ball State Akron AKR -4.5
Oct 7 New Mexico State Appalachian St. APP -9.5
Oct 7 Ole Miss Auburn AUB -22
Oct 7 Virginia Tech Boston College BC +16
Oct 7 Western Michigan Buffalo BUFF +9.5
Oct 7 Marshall Charlotte CHAR +14
Oct 7 UCF Cincinnati CIN +10
Oct 7 Wake Forest Clemson CLEM -24.5
Oct 7 Georgia State Coastal Carolina CC -3.5
Oct 7 Arizona Colorado COLO -5.5
Oct 7 Temple East Carolina ECU +1.5
Oct 7 LSU Florida FLA -2
Oct 7 Miami Florida St. FSU -1.5
Oct 7 SMU Houston HOU -9.5
Oct 7 ULL Idaho IDHO -1
Oct 7 Illinois Iowa IUPA -16
Oct 7 Texas Tech Kansas KU +15.5
Oct 7 Missouri Kentucky UK -7.5
Oct 7 Bowling Green Miami Ohio M-OH -12
Oct 7 Michigan St. Michigan MICH -12.5
Oct 7 FIU Middle Tenn. MTSU -11
Oct 7 Air Force Navy NAVY -11.5
Oct 7 Wisconsin Nebraska NEB +14
Oct 7 Hawaii Nevada NEV +8
Oct 7 Notre Dame North Carolina UNC +9
Oct 7 Kent State N. Illinois NIU -22
Oct 7 Penn State Northwestern NW +11.5
Oct 7 Central Michigan Ohio OHIO -7
Oct 7 Maryland Ohio St. OSU -30
Oct 7 Iowa State Oklahoma OKLA -23
Oct 7 Florida Atlantic Old Dominion ODU -5.5
Oct 7 Washington State Oregon ORE -1.5
Oct 7 Minnesota Purdue PUR +5.5
Oct 7 Army Rice RICE +10
Oct 7 Fresno State San Jose St. SJSU +8
Oct 7 Arkansas South Carolina SC -0.5
Oct 7 Pittsburgh Syracuse SYR -1.5
Oct 7 West Virginia TCU TCU -6.5
Oct 7 Kansas State Texas TEX -2.5
Oct 7 Alabama Texas A&M TA&M +19
Oct 7 ULM Texas St. TXST +9
Oct 7 Eastern Michigan Toledo TOL -9.5
Oct 7 Tulsa Tulane TUL -1
Oct 7 Louisiana Tech UAB UAB +12
Oct 7 San Diego State UNLV UNLV +6.5
Oct 7 Oregon State USC USC -30
Oct 7 Colorado State USU USU +10
Oct 7 Stanford Utah UTAH +2.5
Oct 7 Western Kentucky UTEP UTEP +20
Oct 7 Southern Miss UTSA UTSA -2
Oct 7 Georgia Vanderbilt VAN +9
Oct 7 Duke Virginia UVA +5
Oct 7 California Washington WASH -26
Legend: Coming off bye / Overlook watch / Back to Back road travel / Neutral site


  • The Mountain West "West" showdown is finally here between UNLV and San Diego State. The theme with UNLV remains the same with their excellent rushing offense and poor rush defense. Don’t be fooled by that final score from San Diego State beating NIU. They were outgained by the Huskies and gave up plenty on the ground. Don’t forget San Diego State may have overlook to Boise. Although I have a future on UNLV for the conference, I would play anything north of a touchdown next week on the Rebels.

  • Revenge spot for Southern Miss? UTSA won the 2016 game, but was outgained by Southern Miss. The Golden Eagles looked terrible in Week 5 against North Texas, and UTSA may expose more of USM through the air.

  • Tulsa is facing their third option offense in a row with Tulane. The Golden Hurricanes have not covered and lost outright the past two weeks against option offenses New Mexico and Navy.

  • In my opinion, Washington State at Oregon is the best game on the card. Wazzu has always had Oregon’s number in the past, but in this year’s version we have both offenses and defenses ranked in the top 30. Both teams also rank in the top 10 nationally in sack rate. Oregon held Cal to an amazing 8 rushing yards in Week 5; expect Wazzu to be nothing but passes from the first snap.

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