Bowling Green 2018 Betting Preview: Experienced Falcons A Good Over Bet
Patrick Gorski-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Jarret Doege
Bowling Green 2018 Betting Odds
- To win the National Title: +999999
- To win the MAC: +4000
- Win Total: 4.5 (over -110, under -120)
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Bowling Green 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds
The Action Network Projected Wins: 5.1
Bet To Watch
Bowling Green Over 4.5 (-110)
Bowling Green’s power ranking got a bump this offseason thanks to a few signals. Its 2nd-Order win total was 1.5 (meaning the Falcons outplayed their record), and they rank 18th overall in returning production.
Bowling Green does have a trip to Toledo on its cross-division schedule, but misses contenders Northern Illinois and Eastern Michigan. Additionally, defensive coordinator Carl Pelini should be riding high as his experienced defense ranked 24th in defending passing downs explosiveness last season.
Jarret Doege also returns at quarterback for his sophomore season. His 63.8% completion percentage and 12-3 TD/INT ratio are great building blocks for 2018.
Bowling Green is 0-8 ATS in non-conference play since 2016. Oregon should blow up Bowling Green in Week 1 as a 30-point favorite, but that will be the toughest passing attack this Falcons secondary will face. Maryland also presents an explosive offensive package and that should help Bowling Green prepare for MAC conference play. A conference sandwich game against triple-option oriented Georgia Tech has potential to be a blowout, too.
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While it could be ugly in the beginning, I expect that secondary to learn and improve before conference play, given the upside it showed last season.
The Falcons may only be favored in four games, but with experience and plenty of toss-ups, I like the Over 4.5 (-110).