Friday Night Lights: Wiseguys Take a Side in Memphis-Tulane and UCLA-Colorado

Friday Night Lights: Wiseguys Take a Side in Memphis-Tulane and UCLA-Colorado article feature image
Credit:

Credit: USA TODAY Sports. Brady White and Dorian Thompson Robinson

  • Sharps are targeting the spread in both Friday night college football games.
  • Memphis travels to Tulane (8 p.m. ET), with Memphis listed as a 14.5-point favorite in a game with an over/under of 65.
  • Colorado hosts UCLA (9 p.m. ET), with Colorado listed as a 9.5-point favorite in a game with an over/under of 56.5.

We’re less than 24 hours away from another big college football Saturday. But wiseguys aren’t waiting until then to get down on games.

Sharps are targeting the spread for both Friday night matchups: Memphis-Tulane (8 p.m. ET) and UCLA-Colorado (9 p.m. ET).


>> All data as of 3:00 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App or check out our NCAAF live odds page to get real-time data and track your bets.


Betting Terms to Know

Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.

Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.

Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting, but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side.

Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay sportsbooks in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettor would have to wager $115 to win $100.

Full Sports Betting Glossary


Let’s get to the games!

Memphis at Tulane 

  • Sharp angle: Tulane (+15 to +14.5)
  • Kickoff: 8 p.m. ET

Memphis (3-1) opened as a 13.5-point road favorite. The public expect a blowout win and easy cover with the high-flying Tigers — they’ve outscored opponents 198-93 through four games.




Nearly 80% of bettors are laying the points with Memphis. This lopsided public action pushed the line up to 14.5. That’s when wiseguys took advantage of an inflated line and got down on Tulane.

Using our Sports Insights PRO bet signals, we’ve noticed 11 separate steam and reverse line moves on Tulane. Pros at Pinnacle, GTBets, 5Dimes, CRIS, JustBet, Greek, ABC, Heritage and BetOnline all got down hard on Tulane from +14 to +15.

Tulane also enjoys a profitable smart money discrepancy — it’s only getting 24% of bets but 35% of dollars. This indicates that the bigger, sharper wagers are backing the home dog, while most of the Memphis action is coming from $5 average Joes.


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UCLA at Colorado 

  • Sharp angle: UCLA (+11 to +9.5)
  • Kickoff: 9 p.m. ET

Give the public an undefeated home favorite against a winless team and they’ll take it every time. Once again, however, sharps are zigging while the public zag.

Colorado (3-0) opened as an 11-point favorite. Despite receiving 62% of spread bets, the Buffaloes have fallen to -9.5. Why would oddsmakers drop the line to give public Buffs backers a better number? Because wiseguys got down hard on UCLA (0-3), triggering reverse line movement.



Pros at SBG and GTBets both hit the Bruins at +11 and +10. UCLA is contrarian in what will be the most heavily bet game of the night (9,189 bets and counting). The Bruins also enjoy a profitable bets vs. dollars discrepancy — they’re only getting 39% of bets but nearly half the money (45%).


Looking for more in-depth betting analysis? Sign up for a Sports Insights Pro trial and join our Live Betting Hangouts where we break down the board every weeknight from 6:30-7 p.m. ET.