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Friday College Football Betting: Odds, Analysis for Memphis-SMU, Boise State-New Mexico

Nov 16, 2018 9:00 AM EST
Credit:

Justin Ford-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Darrell Henderson

Memphis at SMU Betting Odds

  • Odds: Memphis -7
  • Over/Under: 73.5
  • Time: 9 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN2

>> All odds as of 11 a.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and track your bets


Memphis Rushing Attack Should Thrive

By Collin Wilson

According to the The Action Network power ratings there is value here at any line better than Memphis -10. We have the the game at Memphis -12, while S&P+ has Memphis -11.

Opponents that have beaten the Tigers have been able to limit an outstanding rush attack that ranks sixth in S&P+, ranking first in rush explosiveness. That can be attributed to running back Darrell Henderson, who averages an amazing 9.2 yards per carry.

SMU’s defense is 48th in rush explosiveness with an overall S&P+ rank of 75th against the rush. This game should have plenty of points scored, but Memphis ranks third offensively in finishing drives.

The Tigers should score on every trip into SMU territory, which should be enough to get a Memphis ticket to the window.

SMU Steadily Improving

By Steve Petrella

Saying SMU got blown out in its first six games is almost an understatement. The Mustangs had a postgame win expectancy of more than 15% in just one game — FCS Houston Baptist.

But the schedule featured games against Michigan, UCF, TCU and North Texas.

Since that gauntlet and a bye week, SMU is 3-1 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS), and all those wins have been earned. The Mustangs postgame win expectancy was greater than 88% in each win, and a loss to 9-1 Cincinnati was a coin flip.

Key Trend for Memphis-SMU

By John Ewing

SMU has won consecutive games but is a 9-point underdog at home. Since 2005, teams on a winning streak of at least two games listed as underdogs of seven or more points at home have gone 101-80-2 (56%) ATS.

Boise State at New Mexico

  • Odds: Boise State -20
  • Over/Under: 62.5
  • Time: 9 p.m. ET
  • TV: CBS Sports Network

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