College Football PRO Report Pick: Sharp Action, Betting System on Central Arkansas vs. UAB
Chris Graythen/Getty Images. Pictured: Tyler Johnston
Central Arkansas vs. UAB Odds
|C. Arkansas Odds||+21 [Bet Now]|
|UAB Odds||-21 [Bet Now]|
|Over/Under||49.5 [Bet Now]|
|Time (TV)||8 p.m. ET (ESPN CE)|
Think sharp bettors missed football?
By the line movement on tonight’s Central Arkansas vs. UAB matchup, it’s certainly been apparent that the pros have an opinion about this spread — or at least the one that was first released into the market.
Our brand new PRO Report helps explain why this line has moved so much:
Central Arkansas vs. UAB PRO Report
The earliest books to market had lines as low as -14.5 for this game. Sharps were quick to make work of that number, triggering a Sports Insights Bet Signal in the form of a steam move that immediately got the market moving.
Steam refers to a sudden, drastic market move that comes as a result of a heavy amount of money hitting the same side of a bet at once, and is a strong indication of sharp action.
The rest of the market began opening up in the -18 range, but even that wasn’t high enough in the eyes of sharps, as another steam move was triggered at -18. As a result, this spread has hit the three-touchdown mark.
While the betting population is split on this game (UAB is holding a 51% to 49% ticket advantage at the time of writing), the distribution of actual money has been nowhere near as balanced.
The 51% of bettors on UAB have generated 70% of the loot, meaning bigger bets — another sign of sharp action — are landing on the favorite.
Along with the smart money they’re bringing in, the Blazers also fit one of our PRO betting systems: Opening Game Matchup.
It’s won at a 57% clip at the closing number on a sample of more than 400 games, for an 11% return on investment.