College Football Sharp Report: Pros Betting Auburn-Purdue, Iowa State-Washington State

College Football Sharp Report: Pros Betting Auburn-Purdue, Iowa State-Washington State article feature image
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John Gutierrez-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Brock Purdy

  • Before placing your bowl game bets for Friday, you might want to know which bets sharps are making.
  • Sharps are bettors with long track records of consistent success.
  • Their favorite Friday plays include a bet on the Alamo Bowl between Iowa State and Washington State.

Continuing an interesting pattern that's sprung up over the past two days, sharp bettors have made their opinions clear on two of the three bowl games on Friday's slate — specifically, the first and last kickoffs of the day.

Once again, the middle game on the slate has seen its share of wiseguy activity, but unlike the other two games today, it has not been one-sided action.



Plus, with other factors like Will Grier's absence having such an impact on the line, sharp line moves are a tad harder to identify.

Nonetheless, below are the two bowl game plays generating the most agreement among wiseguys on Friday.

Alamo Bowl: Iowa State vs. Washington State

9 p.m. ET | ESPN | San Antonio, TX

Sharp angle: Iowa State (moved from +6 to +2.5)

Another one of bowl season's earliest lines to move, Iowa State opened at around a 6-point dog across most of the market — a few books even had the Cyclones at +6.5.

It took only a couple days for the line to fall to +3.5, and many sportsbooks were able to settle at that number for more than two weeks.

Early this week, however, the line started falling again, moving the Cyclones to just 3-point underdogs, and in the past few days, they've moved through the key number of +3 to +2.5.

Only one SI Bet Signal has been triggered on Iowa State, but the betting market percentages paired with the drastic line movement give away the sharp side.

Similar to Purdue, Iowa State's 52% of bettors are accounting for 76% of dollars wagered, meaning bigger bettors — the ones more likely to be sharps — are playing the Cyclones.

Music City Bowl: Auburn vs. Purdue

1:30 p.m. ET | ESPN | Nashville, TN

Sharp angle: Purdue (moved from +5 to +3.5)

Purdue was one of the early movers of bowl season. After opening as 5-point dogs, sharps got behind the Boilermakers to drive the line down to +4 within a day. One week later they were down to +3.5, and they've even made a few brief appearances at +3.

All of that movement has come with 50-50 betting percentages on this game. The difference is that Purdue's 50% backing has accounted for 72% of actual money being wagered.

On top of that, Sports Insights' Bet Signals have revealed five instances of sharp action hitting the Boilermakers, helping drive this line down.

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