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College Football Sharp Report: Pros Betting Texas-Texas Tech, 4 Other Week 11 Games

Nov 10, 2018 8:57 AM EST
Credit:

Rob Ferguson-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Sam Ehlinger

  • Before placing your Week 11 college football bets, you might want to know which bets sharps are making.
  • Sharps are bettors with long track records of consistent success.
  • Their favorite Week 11 plays include bets on Texas-Texas Tech and LSU-Arkansas.

If you’ve read our weekly college football sharp report before, you know the deal by now. But in case you haven’t, here it is:

“Sharps” are bettors with long track records of consistent success. And when I say long, I’m talking several years — decades, even. When a sharp places a bet, books take notice and often adjust their lines as a result.

By tracking these line moves, we can determine the bets sharps are making, assuming we have a few more bits of information — which we do.

The tools at The Action Network and Sports Insights allow us to track each time a wager comes in that changes the market price of a given bet (this is called a steam move).

We also track the number of tickets being placed on each side of a game, as well as the percentage of actual dollars. Comparing those figures to the line movement is one of the easiest and most effective ways to locate sharp action.

With that out of the way, let’s take a look at the Week 11 games drawing the most action from wiseguys.

All games Saturday, Nov. 10.

North Texas @ Old Dominion

2 p.m. ET

Sharp angle: Old Dominion (moved from +14.5 to +14)

The first game on this week’s sharp card is probably not one you’d have circled as must-watch Saturday TV. Of course, that doesn’t mean it can’t hold any betting value, though, and in this case that value has come on Old Dominion.

The Monarchs have drawn only 33% of bettors, but those bettors have accounted for 40% of money wagered, meaning bigger bets — more likely to be the ones from sharps — are behind Old Dominion.

They’ve also been on the receiving end of seven Sports Insights Bet Signals — triggered when sharp action causes market-wide line movement. That’s more than any other team on Saturday’s slate.

Purdue @ Minnesota

3:30 p.m. ET