Florida vs. Alabama Odds & Pick: How Sharps Are Betting the SEC Championship (Saturday, Dec. 19)

Florida vs. Alabama Odds & Pick: How Sharps Are Betting the SEC Championship (Saturday, Dec. 19) article feature image
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Andy Lyons/Getty Images. Pictured: Kyle Pitts

  • Alabama opened as a two-touchdown favorite over Florida, but that line rose, then dropped throughout the week.
  • Two of our PRO signals are lighting up on this matchup, incidcating that sharp money has moved the spread south of +17.

Florida vs. Alabama Odds

Florida Odds +16
Alabama Odds -16
Over/Under 74.5
PRO Projection BAMA -14 | 73.8
Time 8 p.m. ET
TV CBS
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A spread north of two touchdowns doesn’t exactly inspire confidence in an exciting SEC Championship Game this evening. But while Alabama may be the consensus pick to win the matchup, the question of “by how much?” remains. And it’s one that has professional bettors in disagreement with the public.

Our PRO Report details the side sharps are taking.

Note: Odds, data as of 12 p.m. ET.

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CFB: Clemson vs. Notre Dame

CFB: Tulsa vs. Cincinnati

NFL: Panthers vs. Packers

Florida vs. Alabama Pick

Having opened at -14 across much of the market, the current 16-point spread may suggest sharp action to be landing on the favorite. That’s not the case, however.

Sharp Action

With most bettors taking Alabama, oddsmakers quickly adjusted this line to -17, and even -17.5 for a short time. But at those numbers — important ones, given the frequency of 17-point margins in football scores — sharps came in hot on the underdog.

A total of 16 Sports Insights Bet Signals (indicators of sharp action) have been triggered on Florida over the course of the week, and each one of them has come at +17 or higher, revealing just how valuable sharps find that number.

As a result, oddsmakers have dipped back below that mark, even though 77% of bettors are laying the points with Alabama.

Sharp Action edge: Florida

Big Money

While Bama may be dominating in terms of attracting bettors, it’s Florida that’s generated the majority of actual money hitting this spread. As of writing, the 23% of Gator bettors have accounted for 61% of the money, illustrating once more that bigger bets — the ones more likely to come from sharps — are landing on the underdog.

Big Money edge: Florida

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