Georgia-Kentucky Betting Guide: Is This the Right Matchup for the Wildcats?

Nov 03, 2018 10:25 AM EDT

USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Jake Fromm and Josh Allen

Georgia-Kentucky Betting Odds, Pick

  • Spread: Georgia -8.5
  • Over/Under: 44
  • Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
  • TV: CBS

A top 10 showdown to decide the SEC East in November is nothing new. But one in Lexington? That’s not just rare. It’s a miracle.

Georgia and Kentucky meet on Saturday in a game that will decide their division and serve as a College Football Playoff eliminator.

Will the Bulldogs take care of business as a sizable road favorite, or can Kentucky’s excellent defense keep this game inside the number?

>> All odds as of 10 a.m. ET on Friday. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and track your bets.

Market Moves for Georgia-Kentucky

By Danny Donahue

The brunt of the bets being placed on this game have landed on Georgia, as the Bulldogs have attracted 76% of bettors and 73% of dollars wagered. Still, their line has fallen from from -10 to -8.5 as sharp action has has hit Kentucky throughout the week.

The over has yet to make much of a move, only going from 44 to 44.5. While 60% of bets have come in on the over, the under has accounted for 73% of dollars wagered.

A Dream Matchup For Kentucky?

By Steve Petrella

It’s pretty clear what Kentucky is at this point. A stellar defensive team that only wants to run the ball on offense.

This Kentucky defense is no joke. Against a schedule that includes four top 30 teams, the Wildcats rank third in defensive S&P+, including ninth against the pass and 12th against the run.

Kentucky’s offense will need to carry its weight if the Cats want to cover, but this might be the perfect matchup for them. Georgia has a strong secondary but has been pushed around in the trenches most of the season. The Dawgs rank 77th against the run and sixth against the pass in S&P+ ratings.

Benny Snell and Co. can and will run the ball against UGA. As Stuckey pointed out in his mismatches piece, the Dawgs’ opponents face an average third down distance of 5.9 yards, the shortest in the country. Kentucky will pick up chunk yards on early downs all day.

Not All 8.5-Point Spreads Are Created Equal

By Ken Barkley

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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