Georgia State 2018 Betting Preview: Expect a Rebuilding Year, So Bet Under 4.5 Wins
Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Georgia State head coach Shawn Elliott
Georgia State 2018 Betting Odds
- To win the National Title: +999999
- To win the Sun Belt: +5000
- To win the Sun Belt East: N/A
- Win Total: 4.5 (over -120, under -110)
All lines as of July 30. Always shop for the best line.
Georgia State 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds
The Action Network Projected Wins: 4.0
Bet To Watch
Georgia State Under 4.5 (+100)
Head coach Shawn Elliott had an excellent first year at Georgia State. After finishing 7-5 overall (5-3 in conference), the Panthers closed the season with a win over Western Kentucky in the Cure Bowl, the first postseason victory in program history. While optimism might be high after last year’s success, it could be a long second season for Elliott.
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Georgia State will have to replace plenty of lost production, starting with quarterback Conner Manning — the focal point of the offense in 2017. I expect a Panthers team that ranks 104th overall in returning production to struggle on both sides of the ball. And if you dig a little deeper, you’ll see how fortunate the Panthers got last season with all that experience — earning a -1.3 in the 2nd Order win total column. That means their record was 1.3 wins better than it should have been based on their play.
I do have to hand it to Georgia State’s social media team, which made a promo video that would have you believe this team was a modern-day Virginia Tech on special teams. While the punt and punt-return personnel do return for 2018, GSU ranked 111th in punt success rate and 104th in punt return success rate last year. So it won’t get much of a boost in special teams.
The schedule is also unkind to Georgia State, starting with its opener against FCS power Kennesaw State. Believe it or not, the Panthers are actually a 1-point underdog at 5Dimes for that opener. Add in road trips against the three toughest Sun Belt opponents (Arkansas State, Troy and Appalachian State) — and it could get ugly in Atlanta.
Since I have Georgia State favored in only one game this season, I have to take under 4.5 +100.