Kansas State vs. Kansas Odds & Prediction: How Legit Is Jayhawks Offense?

Kansas State vs. Kansas Odds & Prediction: How Legit Is Jayhawks Offense? article feature image

Scott Wachter-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Carter Stanley

Kansas State vs. Kansas

  • Spread: Kansas +5
  • Over/Under: 54.5
  • Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
  • TV: Fox Sports 1

Odds via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).

It of course remains to be seen how many more games Kansas will win this season. But at the very least, Les Miles has made this team fun again. The offense has averaged at least 6.0 yards per play in its last three games.

The Jayhawks nearly beat Texas as a 3-touchdown underdog, then beat Texas Tech thanks to one of the weirdest plays you’ll ever see.

Kansas State meanwhile is off a signature win over Oklahoma in its first season under Chris Klieman, who has the Wildcats off to a 5-2 start.

Which first-year coach will prevail in the Sunflower Showdown? Let’s dive in.

Model Prediction for Kansas State-Kansas

Collin Wilson’s power ratings can be used to project the point spread between any two teams. His full Week 10 projected point spreads are here. He also projected every over/under for Week 10.

  • Spread: Kansas State -5.9
  • Total: 50.7

Have we found the ceiling for the new-look Kansas Jayhawks offense? In two weeks since naming a new offensive coordinator who quite literally wrote the book on RPO’s, Les Miles’ team was within a field goal of defeating Texas and pulled off an upset thanks to a Texas Tech lateral.

This was blocked, recovered, and #RockChalk has another attempt coming pic.twitter.com/qx1Wte4cyJ

— Collin Wilson (@_Collin1) October 27, 2019

The offense has gone for nearly 1,100 yards in those two contests with a combination of both ground and air explosiveness. The Jayhawks are one of most dangerous offenses in the nation, with explosiveness ranks of 27th in rushing and 18th in passing.

Enter Kansas State, who may be on hangover after an upset of Oklahoma thanks to a controversial onside kick.

The onside kick that could change the @CFBPlayoff landscape@OU_Football | #BoomerSooner pic.twitter.com/fvJ487IzCM

— Collin Wilson (@_Collin1) October 26, 2019

Whether Kansas State is still enjoying its win over the Sooners, the Wildcats struggle against teams that gain chunk yards on the ground. Chris Klieman’s defense is 128th in opponent rush explosiveness, which Jayhawks running back Pooka Williams Jr. can expose.

Kansas State does have a substantial offensive advantage in passing success rate with quarterback Skylar Thompson, but a rank of 126th in opponents yards per rush should allow Kansas to dictate the clock.

Pick: Kansas +6 or better [In New Jersey? Bet now at PointsBet]

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