Melina Vastola-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Louisiana Monroe quarterback Caleb Evans
UL Monroe 2018 Betting Odds
- To win the National Title: +999999
- To win the Sun Belt: +1200
- To win the Sun Belt West: N/A
- Win Total: 5.5 (over -120, under -110)
All lines taken from 5Dimes on July 26. Always shop for the best line.
UL Monroe 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds
The Action Network Projected Wins: 6.1
Bet To Watch
UL Monroe Under 5.5 (-110)
A few teams had their defense completely fall off a cliff in 2017. East Carolina and Tulsa come to mind, as does ULM — which ranked 129th in Defensive S&P+, second-worst in the country. The 4-2-5 defense can create havoc, but only if the defenders know how to properly attack opposing offenses. The Warhawks didn’t show that ability at all last season.
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ULM did have a respectable offense that averaged 51 points per game in its 2017 wins. Sun Belt defenses will once again key on dual-threat quarterback Caleb Evans, who returns under center for his junior season. Expect another productive year out of the offense.
ULM didn’t catch any breaks on the schedule, as it plays back-to-back road games four separate times in 2018. And from Sept. 2 until Oct. 20, the Warhawks will play only one home game.
ULM has three relatively easy wins on its schedule but should lose all three road games against Texas A&M, Ole Miss and Arkansas State. That leaves six coin-flip games — four of which come on the road. Considering the difficulty of the schedule and the lack of confidence I have in the second-worst ranked defense from last season, I don’t see three additional wins. Take under 5.5 wins at -110 and expect plenty of shootout losses.
What else you need to know about Louisiana Monroe
Coastal Carolina will benefit from a bye week before it hosts ULM, which will be playing its fifth road game in a 35-day stretch. Coastal put up 43 points in last year’s meeting with its new triple-option package and should once again run wild against a potentially exhausted Warhawks defense. Oct. 13 looks like a perfect situational spot to back Coastal Carolina, especially if we get plus money.