LSU vs Texas A&M Betting Odds, Prediction: Our Top Pick for SEC Clash
Photo by Wesley Hitt/Getty Images. Pictured: Jayden Daniels (LSU)
LSU vs Texas A&M Odds
| LSU Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-10 -110 | 47.5 -105o / -115u | -360 |
| Texas A&M Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+10 -110 | 47.5 -105o / -115u | +295 |
August expectations don't always bear out, and that's certainly the case on Saturday as LSU and Texas A&M wrap up their regular seasons.
The Tigers have far exceeded what was expected of Brian Kelly's first season in the bayou, as LSU (9-2) has locked up the SEC West and likely controls its own CFP destiny with a win here and over Georgia in the SEC Championship.
The high of Texas A&M's season, meanwhile, was a 31-0 win over Sam Houston to start the year. The Aggies had CFP aspirations, only to arrive at this matchup with a 4-7 record, losers of six-straight SEC games.
Texas A&M appears checked out for the season, and a transfer portal exodus could be looming in the coming weeks. LSU knows it must take care of business against A&M for its matchup with Georgia to mean anything, but could the Tigers get caught looking ahead?
LSU Tigers
LSU has been one of the best teams in the country since mid-October. A switch was seemingly flipped on following the Tigers' loss to Tennessee, as since then, LSU has rattled off a five-game win streak that includes wins over Ole Miss and Alabama.
Jayden Daniels has come into his own during the stretch, changing from a game manager in the first six games of the season into a dynamic offensive force in the last five.
Daniels passed for a season-high 349 yards against Florida to start the win streak and has rushed for 337 yards and five touchdowns over the last four games, along with five passing scores.
Daniels is also the lead rusher in a talented backfield of running backs. The LSU offensive line has been one of the strengths of this team, ranking second in Line Yards and helping the team to the fifth-best Run Success.
LSU's defense, while not great, has also played a little better in recent weeks.
Freshman linebacker Harold Perkins has emerged as one of the most disruptive defenders in the nation over the last month. Over LSU's last four games, Perkins has 26 tackles, seven tackles for loss and five sacks, along with 22 pressures and 15 hurries.
The Tigers have held all five teams faced during their win streak to below their season average in total offense, all of which average almost 80 yards more per game than the A&M offense.
Texas A&M Aggies
Jimbo Fisher's season from hell reaches its long-awaited conclusion. Cracks in the armor began to show with A&M's loss in the second game of the season to Appalachian State, and the rest of the season demonstrated that upset was no fluke.
The Aggies have just one win over an SEC team this season (Arkansas) as the offense has left much to be desired.
Texas A&M's quarterback situation has been far from ideal, with early Haynes King struggles and Max Johnson's season-ending injury.
Conner Weigman has played admirably in relief as a freshman (741 yards, six touchdown, no interceptions), but it hasn't been nearly enough to keep the Aggies competitive.
Texas A&M is 112th in Pass Success and 115th in Pass Blocking, the latter of which could be an issue against an LSU pass rush that has 10 sacks in its last three SEC games.
A&M's defense hasn't also been up to its usual level. Five of the Aggies' seven SEC opponents have scored at least 24 points.
Over the last three games against SEC opponents, A&M has allowed an average of 317 yards rushing per game, which isn't exactly what you want leading up to an LSU offense that's rushed for at least 200 yards in three of its last four games.
LSU vs Texas A&M Matchup Analysis
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how LSU and Texas A&M match up statistically:
LSU Offense vs. Texas A&M Defense
 | Offense | Defense |  Edge |
| Rush Success | 5 | 65 | |
| Line Yards | 2 | 78 | |
| Pass Success | 22 | 11 | |
| Pass Blocking** | 65 | 74 | |
| Havoc | 54 | 65 | |
| Finishing Drives | 18 | 9 | |
| ** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.) | |||
Texas A&M Offense vs. LSU Defense
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 54 | 68 | |
| Line Yards | 79 | 32 | |
| Pass Success | 112 | 12 | |
| Pass Blocking** | 115 | 24 | |
| Havoc | 96 | 66 | |
| Finishing Drives | 99 | 11 | |
| ** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.) | |||
Pace of Play / Other
| | |
| PFF Tackling | 43 | 78 |
| PFF Coverage | 87 | 34 |
| SP+ Special Teams | 82 | 61 |
| Seconds per Play | 26.8 (74) | 26.3 (61) |
| Rush Rate | 55.1% (60) | 45.9% (111) |
Data via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD), FootballOutsiders, SP+, Pro Football Focus and SportSource Analytics.
LSU vs Texas A&M Betting Pick
This is your classic look-ahead game that many teams in LSU's situation have fallen victim too. The state of affairs in College Station, however, makes this a less dangerous spot for the Tigers.
There's not much Gig'em left in the Aggies. Texas A&M struggled at times last week against Massachusetts, one of the worst teams in the FBS. The Aggies won by 17 points as a 33.5-point favorite and lost four fumbles throughout the game, among other offensive issues.
Texas A&M is counting down the days, while LSU has every reason to keep its foot on the gas. The Tigers were somehow leapfrogged by USC in the latest College Football Playoff rankings and will be looking for every single style point available to make their case to the CFP committee.
There won't be any calling off of the dogs by Kelly as LSU looks to make an emphatic statement. Give me the Tigers.
Pick: LSU -10 |
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