Michigan vs. Minnesota Odds & Pick: Projections, Betting Systems Reveal Spread Value (Saturday, Oct. 24)
Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images. Pictured: Tanner Morgan
Michigan vs. Minnesota Odds
|PRO Projection||MICH -1.8 | 53
|Time||7:30 p.m. ET|
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Sharp bettors don’t always work in unison, and that’s especially true when the given game offers varying prices at different points in time.
Tonight’s Michigan vs. Minnesota matchup is a prime example, and it’s why we’ve seen this line hit both sides of the key number of 3 at different times during the week.
But as it’s settled at 3.5 — at least as of the early afternoon on Saturday — our PRO Report feature is finding value on just one side. Let’s take a look.
Data as of 12:15 p.m. ET. For immediate access to our College Football PRO Report, start a Free Trial today! You’ll also get:
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Michigan vs. Minnesota PRO Report
Minnesota has been landing the bigger bets in this game — which does mean something — and has matched one of our PRO betting systems. It’s also offering some spread value at the current number based on our model’s projections.
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As mentioned, sharp bettors have been hitting both sides of this game depending on the number offered. And while it would be irresponsible to suggest a major sharp edge (hence the lacking “sharp action” icon), looking at the discrepancy of bets and money can still serve a purpose in a game such as this one.
Since sharps are more likely to be making bigger bets than average bettors, Minnesota’s 72% of cash on just 58% of bets could suggest a bit more smart money on the underdog.
Big Money edge: Minnesota
History is on the Gophers’ side as well. Our PRO betting system, Opening Game Matchup, is currently showing a match on Minnesota.
The system attempts to seek out undervalued teams based on their performance the previous season and has a 57% win rate since 2005, going 241-184-6.
PRO Systems edge: Minnesota
Perhaps the clearest indication of an edge on Minnesota comes by way of our model’s projections.
The college football model, compiled by Collin Wilson, suggests the Gophers should be just 1.8-point underdogs, which presents significant value for any bettors than can get on the right side of the key number (+3.5 or better).
Model Projections edge: Minnesota
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