Late Sharp Betting Action Hits Mississippi State vs. Auburn Spread
Matt Bush-USA TODAY Sports. Lee Witherspoon
- As Saturday's college football slate gets underway, sharps are still making moves on some of tonight's later matchups.
- The Action Network's tools reveal the late moves they've made on Mississippi State vs. Auburn.
Saturday night’s Mississippi State-Auburn matchup (7 p.m. ET, ESPN) has seen its fair share of line movement throughout the week. After opening at -10, Auburn was quickly bet up to a 12-point favorite in some spots before the movement switched directions toward the road team.
A more gradual line fall, propelled in part by a bit of sharp Bulldog action, brought the line back to its opening number by Saturday morning.
Odds as of Saturday at 12:30 p.m. ET. Check out PointsBet, where Action Network users get an exclusive 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).
That didn’t mark the end of the professional money brigade, though. In fact, Sports Insights’ Bet Signals revealed that the most convincing wiseguy activity on this spread was yet to come until today.
Mississippi State vs. Auburn Sharp Report
Mississippi State has drawn just 30% of bets and 41% of dollars, so any move in its direction is likely to be the result of sharp money. Especially strong indications would include a move off of a key number, or a move of a full-point or more.
State has seen both this morning.
It began with a shift from an important number of +10 down to +9.5 as pros were evidently finding value in the double-digit spread. From there, a Sports Insights Bet Signal — triggered by market-wide movement as a result of sharp action — hit the Bulldogs at +9.5.
At PointsBet, that action resulted in a 1.5-point move from +9.5 all the way to +8.
The late onslaught of sharp money on Mississippi State lines up directly with the numerous betting angles being exposed by The Action Network’s tools. The Bulldogs still show value based on our power ratings (which have this game at Auburn -6.8) and find themselves in a matchup situation that’s been profitable historically.
With the spread now in a bit of a “dead zone” between the key numbers 7 and 10, the next several hours could easily result in more line movement. Any move back to one of those numbers would be a decent indication of another wave of professional money.