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New Mexico 2018 Betting Preview: Bob Davie’s Job in Jeopardy

New Mexico 2018 Betting Odds

  • To win the Mountain West: +15000
  • To win the Mountain Division: +5000
  • Win Total: 4 (over -115, under -115)

All lines taken from 5Dimes on Aug. 17. Always shop for the best line.


New Mexico 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds

The Action Network Projected Wins: 4.7

Bet To Watch

New Mexico Under 4 wins (-115)

The Lobos have based their entire offensive identity around the triple option for a number of years under Bob Davie. After seven straight losses to end 2017, Davie is moving to a spread option offense…with players fit to run an option.

New Mexico’s passing S&P+ ranking has been outside the top 100 over the past three seasons. Holdovers Tevaka Tuioti and Coltin Gerhart are competing with JUCO transfer Sheriron Jones for the quarterback position.

With plenty of replacements on the offensive line, it’s hard to see Davie escaping 2018 with his job if the Lobos are not bowl bound. Misconduct allegations led to a 30-day suspension earlier this year for the head coach, and budget crunching in Albuquerque could make New Mexico athletics a soap opera come November.

 

The schedule does not set up well for the Lobos. New Mexico will be favored over two teams (Incarnate Word, Liberty), while the last four home games come against Mountain West powerhouses (Fresno State, San Diego State, Boise State, Wyoming). New Mexico State returns all of its 2017 defense that shut down UNM through three quarters last year.

Mathematically the win total projection is more than four, but with the player-coach misconduct dynamic, offensive scheme change and a rough November schedule, I’m riding with Under 4 wins (-115).

What else to know about New Mexico

New Mexico is 3-9 ATS as a home favorite since 2015. That situation will apply to the opener against Incarnate Word and off a bye week against Liberty.

More College Football Betting Previews

Click here for team previews on all 130 FBS schools.

Credit:

Charles Morgan Engel-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Bob Davie

Follow Collin Wilson on Twitter
@_Collin1
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