Ohio vs. Ball State Odds & Prediction: Can Either Defense Get Stops?

Ohio vs. Ball State Odds & Prediction: Can Either Defense Get Stops? article feature image
Credit:

Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Nathan Rourke

Ohio vs. Ball State

  • Spread: Ball State -3
  • Over/Under: 62.5
  • Time: 2 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN+

Odds as of Friday night and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).


The MAC has been a mess in non-conference this season, going 20-28 against the spread. But we don’t love the MAC for its national prowess.

No, we love the MAC for the messes it creates during conference games, and we could have a fun one on Saturday afternoon.

Ball State is 3-0 in league play and can really set itself up for a division title with a win over Ohio. But this game could end up serving as a MAC Championship Game preview, as Ohio has struggled at times so far this season but is still the favorite to emerge from the MAC East.

How are we betting this game? Let’s get to it.

Model Projection for Ball State-Ohio

Using our betting power ratings, we can project every spread and total. EDGE members can access our full power ratings here.

  • Spread: Pick’em
  • Total: 55.5

Wilson: How I’m Betting This Game

Ohio will be tasked with stopping a Ball State offense that has put up 1,030 yards in its past two games against Toledo and Eastern Michigan.

Quarterback Drew Plitt now has 16 touchdowns to just 6 interceptions. As for the ground attack, the Cardinals are top 30 in Line Yards, Opportunity Rate and Stuff Rate on offense — this team can move the ball.

The Ohio offense should have similar success with the ground attack, a staple of the Frank Solich offense, as the Ball State defense is outside the top 70 in rushing and passing success rate.

Our Action Network power ratings make this game a pick’em. Neither team is going to generate much pressure, as Ball State is 63rd and Ohio is 127th in defensive havoc.

There will be plenty of offense, but a rank of 10th in third down conversions and 14th in red zone touchdown scoring should be all the Bobcats need to stay ahead in the MAC East.

Pick: Ohio +3 [In New Jersey? Bet now at PointsBet]