Wilson’s Ohio vs. Pitt Betting Odds & Angles: Should You Follow Line Movement?

Wilson’s Ohio vs. Pitt Betting Odds & Angles: Should You Follow Line Movement? article feature image
Credit:

Charles LeClaire, USA Today Sports.

Ohio vs. Pitt Betting Odds

  • Odds: Pitt -4
  • Over/Under: 54
  • Time: 11 a.m. ET
  • TV: ACC Network
  • Location: Pittsburgh, Pa.

All odds via PointsBet and current as of 2 p.m. ET on Friday.

The initial opener under a touchdown was a surprise, as our power ratings projected Pitt to win by more than a score. The money came in on Ohio after openers and has moved the spread down to just -4.

The line indicates that a team that just won the ACC Coastal would be close to a pick'em against a team from the MAC on a neutral field.

Is that right?

During Week 1, Pitt led Virginia at halftime 14-13. UVA made second-half adjustments, and the Cavaliers stingy defense from 2018 returned.

Virginia was 17th overall in defensive havoc last season, and Pitt quarterback Kenny Pickett was running a new passing offense under coordinator Mark Whipple.

🎥A look at the big plays from @JoeyBlount8 at Pitt.#GoHoos#TheStandardpic.twitter.com/FC7Qi4Rcw9

— Virginia Football (@UVAFootball) September 1, 2019

Mendenhall went on to call a blitz on every down from any angle against Pitt's offensive line, which had four new starters. A deeper dive into the box score shows Virginia had three touchdowns that came from drives with starting field position at the Pitt 29, 27 and 19.

Head coach Pat Narduzzi said Pickett cannot take that many hits and that the offensive staff just didn't have an answer for the Virginia blitz.

Offensive coordinator Mark Whipple now gets a very familiar opponent in Ohio. Although UMass lost to Ohio the past two seasons, the Minutemen put up total points of 42 and 50 in those contests. Ohio head coach Frank Solich has mentioned this week how much of a challenge the former UMass head coach has been for the Bobcats.

As for the other side of the ball, Pat Narduzzi said game planning for UVA's Bryce Perkins to Ohio's Nathan Rourke has not required much change. Both quarterbacks rely on zone-read and use 3-by-1 routes for the passing game.

Even with Penn State on deck, Pitt should use this game to get a win and have an offense recovery after the terrible second half against Virginia.

The Pick: Pitt -4

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