Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Jason Candle
Toledo 2018 Betting Odds
- To win the National Title: +500000
- To win the MAC: +400
- Win Total: 8 (over -110, under -120)
All lines taken from 5Dimes on Aug. 6. Always shop for the best line.
Toledo 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds
The Action Network Projected Wins: 8.6
Bet To Watch
Toledo Over 8 (-110)
Last season, the Rockets won the MAC Championship led by conference player of the year QB Logan Woodside, finally breaking through in the MAC West against pesky Northern Illinois.
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Head coach Jason Candle’s biggest challenge in pulling an encore this season will be replacing Woodside. Toledo heads into fall camp with one career completion between the competing quarterbacks. The good news is almost every receiving target from a team that went 19th in passing success rate returns.
The defense will have to pick up the slack with a less efficient offense, and that might be an issue with pedestrian numbers in explosiveness (83rd) and overall havoc (82nd). The defense did not have a good showing in the Dollar General Bowl against Appalachian State, allowing 34 points and 458 total yards.
In non-conference play, the Rockets will be dogs to Miami (Hurricanes) and Fresno State. Toledo faces Miami after coming off a Sept. 8 bye week, but the Rockets are 4-12-1 ATS after a bye week since 2009.
The good news is that Toledo gets a big break with its in-conference scheduling. It misses the East’s top teams in Ohio and Miami of Ohio.
Toledo may win the West even with a loss to Northern Illinois, as the Huskies draw the toughest cross division competition (Miami Ohio, Ohio, Eastern Michigan).
Even without Woodside, I like Toledo Over 8 (-110). There are six games the Rockets will be home favorites of more than a touchdown. Taking two of four from Kent State, Western Michigan, Eastern Michigan and Fresno State will net a push, at worst.