Tulane vs. Houston Sharp Pick: How Pros Are Betting Thursday Night’s Total

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Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images. Pictured: Jaylon Monroe

Tulane vs. Houston Betting Odds

Tulane Odds +6.5
Houston Odds -6.5
Moneyline -210/-265
Over/Under 58.5
Time 7:30 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

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Following some pandemic troubles that cancelled a few scheduled games, Houston will finally open up its 2020 college football with a Thursday night hosting of Tulane.

The Cougars are just-shy-of-a-touchdown favorites in this one, and oddsmakers are expecting a decent amount of offense, having settled the total at 60 — which has been the more interesting line to follow throughout the week.

Our PRO Report reveals why.

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Tulane vs. Houston PRO Report

Sharps have taken a clear liking to the under, as their projections seem to agree with ours that this line is a bit too high.

[Try PRO for FREE to see how sharps are betting the entire Week 6 college football slate.]

Sharp Action

On the surface (meaning, by the looks of the line movement), you wouldn’t necessarily think that this game had drawn sharps to the under. After all, the earliest opener for this game set the total at 56, and it’s currently up at 60 at most books. If anything, you’d probably conclude that sharps were on the over.

But from our tools (using Sports Insights Bet Signals as the tell-tale sign of sharp action), that upward movement was more a result of overall action, whereas sharps’ stronger takes came once the line had already reached its higher level.

Since the line reached the upper 50s, and especially so in the lower 60s, 10 SI Bet Signals have been triggered on the under (to just three on the over at lesser numbers), confirming the pro play.

Sharp Action edge: Under

Model Projections

For the wiseguys to be so invested in the under, they must be projecting this game at a lower total — and so are we.

Collin Wilson’s power ratings suggest that this over/under should be lined close to a full touchdown lower, at 54.3.

Model Projections edge: Under


Our PRO Report is also revealing a sharp side on tonight’s Bucs-Bears spread! Start a FREE trial of PRO to see how the wiseguys are betting it.

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