Big Bets Driving Washington-Washington State Line Off Key Number

Nov 23, 2018 05:55 PM EST
Credit:

James Snook-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Washington State Cougars Head Coach Mike Leach.

  • Tonight, the Washington Huskies make the short trip to Washington State to take on the Cougars (8:30 p.m. ET, FOX).
  • The public is all over the higher-ranked Cougars, but the line has moved against them since opening.
  • Using The Action Network's betting tools, we've identified what is driving the line movement.

Bettors anxious to continue their holiday football betting won’t need to wait long, as Black Friday boasts an exciting slate of college football action.

Included among the games are two top 25 showdowns: Oklahoma-West Virginia and Washington-Washington State.

With the Cougars being the higher-ranked team and playing at home, oddsmakers opened them as 3-point favorites. Early action pushed that line up even higher, as the line reached -4.5 on Sunday night.

However, by Monday afternoon the line moved back to -3, and on Tuesday night it moved off the key number to 2.5 for the first time. Since then, it has yet to move back to 3.

If we look at our betting percentages, we can see that the Cougars are by far the more popular team, getting 70% of spread bets and 67% of moneyline bets.

Yet, when we look at where the money has gone, spread dollars are split 50/50. Though the Huskies aren’t getting much love from the casual bettors, they have attracted larger bets, which has helped move the line in their favor.

The line had reached as low as 1, but is now available at 2.5 around the market.

According to Bet Labs, when two ranked teams have played during the regular season, the higher-ranked team has covered 54.2% of the time and the home team has covered 52.7% of the time.

When the home team has also been the higher-ranked squad, it has covered 56.4% of the time.

Though sharp action is in favor of the Huskies, the Cougars have some historical trends on their side as well.

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