Jim Matthews/USA TODAY NETWORK-Wisconsin via USA TODAY NETWORK. Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (12) sits at his table during the Green Bay Chamber of Commerce Welcome Back Packers Luncheon at Lambeau Field.
- At +500, Aaron Rodgers is the favorite to win the 2018 NFL MVP award entering the season, closely followed by Carson Wentz (+700) and Tom Brady (+850.)
- Deshaun Watson (+2000 to +1500) and Jimmy Garoppolo (+2000 to +1600) have both seen attention from bettors since odds opened in late June.
- Todd Gurley (+4000 to +2000) has also seen a large jump in the odds for those who believe a non-QB can win the award.
It’s tough not to bet on an NFL MVP winner and not have Tom Brady or Aaron Rodgers pop into your head. They’ve won four of the eight MVPs this decade, and despite not providing great payouts on any of them, they’ve proved that they deserve to be at the top of the NFL MVP odds list year in and year out.
Brady (+850) will be looking for his fourth career MVP this season, while Rodgers (+500) is looking for his third. Heading into the season, the oddsmakers have given the younger Rodgers the edge as the favorite.
These odds will be updated on a weekly basis throughout the season as available, along with analysis on the big movers on the list.
NFL MVP Odds
Since opening a couple of months back, Rodgers’ odds have improved quite a bit, widening the gap between him and his biggest competition, Brady and Carson Wentz.
Wentz’s odds have also improved from +950 to +700, while the reigning MVP has seen his odds drop from +700 to +850. With his current group of wide receivers, it’s understandable that bettors are doubting the aging GOAT.
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The next trio of QBs includes two youngsters who haven’t played a full season and Drew Brees (+1600), who has played plenty. Deshaun Watson (+1500) and Jimmy Garoppolo (+1600) have seen improved odds, which is not surprising at all given that they both played excellently in their limited time last year.
Another glut of quarterbacks can be found at +2200, but not before the first non-QB makes an appearance, as Todd Gurley‘s odds have improved big time since opening — from +4000 to +2000. Adrian Peterson is the only non-QB to win the MVP since 2007.
The best odds for a wide receiver go to Antonio Brown at +5000, while Rob Gronkowski is the only tight end on the list at +10000. J.J. Watt is the only defensive player posted, also at +10000.
No wideouts or tight ends have ever won the award, while Lawrence Taylor was the last defensive player to win, back in 1986.
Check back after Week 1, as there will surely be some big changes throughout the odds list.