Freedman: Will Antonio Brown Trade Be Announced on Day 1 of 2019 NFL Draft?

Freedman: Will Antonio Brown Trade Be Announced on Day 1 of 2019 NFL Draft? article feature image
Credit:

Philip G. Pavely-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Antonio Brown

  • Steelers wide receiver Antonio Brown has requested a trade.
  • If the Steelers are to acquire a first-round pick for him, they will need to trade him no later than Day 1 of the 2019 NFL draft.
  • Matthew Freedman looks at the odds for whether a trade for Brown will be announced on Day 1 of the draft.

Each day, I publish at least one quick-n’-dirty piece highlighting a favorite prop of mine. See my master list of 2019 prop bets for more information.

For performance-based player props, follow me in The Action Network app.

2019 Year-to-Date Prop Record

127-105-9, +23.71 Units

  • NFL: 21-13-0, +11.72 Units
  • NBA: 50-35-2, +9.52 Units
  • NHL: 45-49-6, +0.78 Units
  • Golf: 3-4-1, -0.50 Units
  • NASCAR: 3-2-0. +1.55 Units
  • NCAAF: 0-1-0. -1.00 Units
  • NCAAB: 0-1-0. -1.00 Units
  • Exotics: 5-0-0. +2.64 Units

Will Antonio Brown Trade Be Announced on Day 1 of 2019 NFL Draft?

  • Yes: +140
  • No: -200

I really like “No.” First of all, Steelers wide receiver Antonio Brown might not even be traded. He probably will be, but there’s a chance he won’t be.

Additionally, Brown is due a $2.5 million roster bonus on March 17, so if the Steelers are to get a deal done, they will be highly motivated to wrap it up by that date.

With -200 odds, there’s a 66.7% implied probability that Brown won’t be traded on Day 1 of the NFL Draft (Thursday, April 25), but I think the true odds are closer to 80%.

I bet “No” at -200 and would bet it to -350.

The Pick: No (-200)


Matthew Freedman is the Editor-in-Chief of FantasyLabs. He has a dog and sometimes a British accent. In Cedar Rapids, Iowa, he’s known only as The Labyrinthian.

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