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Cardinals-Vikings Betting Preview: Value in Backing a Bad Team at a Big Number?

Oct 14, 2018 10:00 AM EDT

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Patrick Peterson and Adam Thielen

Betting odds: Arizona Cardinals at Minnesota Vikings

  • Spread: Vikings -10
  • Over/Under: 43
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • Channel: FOX

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets

Betting market: The poor Vikings have to deal with the pressure of being a double-digit home favorite, something they failed to handle last go around.

At the time of writing, more than 60% of bettors have backed Minnesota. Despite this public support, the Vikings have gone from -10.5 to -10 at most books, suggesting some sharper action was on Arizona plus that hook (see live betting data here). —Mark Gallant

Trends to know: Bad teams have been good bets as big underdogs in the NFL. Since 2003, teams that have won fewer than 25% of their games, like the Cardinals, are 120-87-4 (58%) against the spread when getting 10 or more points, per our Bet Labs data. — John Ewing

Since the beginning of the 2014 season, the Vikings are the second-most profitable team at home with a 24-10 record ATS (+12.5 units).

The Vikings’ last home game prior to Sunday was their 27-6 loss to the Buffalo Bills. Since 2014, Minnesota is 8-1 ATS in its next home game after an ATS home loss. — Evan Abrams

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