How Bettors Can Take Advantage of 2018’s Worst NFL Team


Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

May 11, 2018, 08:45 PM EDT

Prior to the 2017 NFL season, Miami Dolphins quarterback Ryan Tannehill suffered a torn ACL that kept him out for the entire year. Miami signed everyone’s favorite quarterback, Jay Cutler, to lead the offense, and let’s just say that didn’t go well.


Cutler finished 26th in the league with a 39.8 QBR as the Dolphins offense sputtered to just 17.6 points per game, 28th in the NFL. There appears to be optimism (for some reason) regarding Miami’s 2018 outlook as Tannehill returns to take over for Smokin’ Jay.

While Tannhehill, and frankly anyone, may seem like an upgrade over Cutler, Tannehill’s numbers were quite Cutler-esque leading into last season. He ranked 27th in QBR in 2015 and 24th in 2016, and is now without WR Jarvis Landry.

The Dolphins also lost Ndamukong Suh, who ranked as the 36th-best player in the NFL last year and the only Dolphin among the league’s best 101 players, according to Pro Football Focus.

With the team’s quarterback situation basically a real-world example of the Spiderman pointing meme, its best skill position player off to Cleveland and Suh now a Ram, there’s not much to like about this roster.

According to Bet Labs’ post-draft simulations, Miami projects as the worst team in the league, but that doesn’t mean bettors should be blindly fading the Dolphins across all futures and props. Remember, the betting market is already pricing the Dolphins as one of the league’s worst at 110-1 to win Super Bowl 53, trailing only the Cardinals (165-1), Jets (145-1) and Bears (140-1).

So how can bettors take advantage? Using the results of our most recent simulations, we’ve pinpointed four ways bettors can find value right now by fading the 2018 Miami Dolphins. — PJ Walsh



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