One football game remains in what has been a wild season. When the dust settles, Tom Brady or … Nick Foles will be the last man standing. Both have something in common with hoofed creatures. One is the GOAT; the other owns a pet llama named Tina.
That’s just one thing you probably didn’t know about Super Bowl 52, but there’s plenty more below: Metrics, props, trends, injuries, ref insights, DFS nuggets, sneaky storylines, matchups to watch, biggest advantages (for both teams), and so much more.
That’s right: Actual information you can quite literally bank on, as opposed to fantastical analogies regarding ungulates.
Get to reading folks, because the sportsbooks won’t wait up for you. — Mark Gallant
Go here for the rest of our Super Bowl 52 coverage.
All info as of Sunday afternoon.
THE SETUP: Philadelphia Eagles vs. New England Patriots (-4.5) | O/U: 48.5
The line move, Pt. 1: The books have gotten a steady diet of Eagles money since opening initially at Patriots -6.5 during the second half of the NFC title game. The line is down to a consensus of -4.5 with some shops down as low as -4. On early Friday afternoon, offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu moved down to Patriots -4 (-110) for the first time since opening New England -6. The move was significant due to Bookmaker’s high limits and willingness to accept professional action. Immediately after making the adjustment, sharp money pounded the Patriots, pushing the line up to -4 (-122) within five minutes. A few minutes later, Bookmaker.eu moved back to -4.5 (-112). — PJ Walsh
The line move, Pt. 2: Since 2003, when New England has received positive line movement (-6 to -4.5), the Pats are 47-28-2 against the spread (62.7%) — the most profitable team in Bet Labs’ database. — John Ewing
The line move, Pt. 3: The Pats might be good in this spot, but this kind of positive line movement (-6 to -4.5) hasn’t been a good omen in the Super Bowl. The teams that saw the line move at least 1.5 points away from them have gone 2-13 straight-up and 4-11 ATS. — Evan Abrams
Trend to know No. 1: Public bettors don’t fade Tom Brady very often, but they haven’t had much success when doing so. Teams getting a majority of spread bets when facing TB12 have gone just 12-23-2 ATS (34.3%) since 2003. The Eagles were getting 54% of the betting tickets at the time of publication. — John Ewing