One football game remains in what has been a wild season. When the dust settles, Tom Brady or … Nick Foles will be the last man standing. Both have something in common with hoofed creatures. One is the GOAT; the other owns a pet llama named Tina.

That’s just one thing you probably didn’t know about Super Bowl 52, but there’s plenty more below: Metrics, props, trends, injuries, ref insights, DFS nuggets, sneaky storylines, matchups to watch, biggest advantages (for both teams), and so much more.

That’s right: Actual information you can quite literally bank on, as opposed to fantastical analogies regarding ungulates.

Get to reading folks, because the sportsbooks won’t wait up for you. Mark Gallant

Go here for the rest of our Super Bowl 52 coverage.

All info as of Sunday afternoon.


THE SETUP: Philadelphia Eagles vs. New England Patriots (-4.5) | O/U: 48.5

The line move, Pt. 1: The books have gotten a steady diet of Eagles money since opening initially at Patriots -6.5 during the second half of the NFC title game. The line is down to a consensus of -4.5 with some shops down as low as -4. On early Friday afternoon, offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu moved down to Patriots -4 (-110) for the first time since opening New England -6. The move was significant due to Bookmaker’s high limits and willingness to accept professional action. Immediately after making the adjustment, sharp money pounded the Patriots, pushing the line up to -4 (-122) within five minutes. A few minutes later, Bookmaker.eu moved back to -4.5 (-112). PJ Walsh

The line move, Pt. 2: Since 2003, when New England has received positive line movement (-6 to -4.5), the Pats are 47-28-2 against the spread (62.7%) — the most profitable team in Bet Labs’ database. John Ewing

The line move, Pt. 3: The Pats might be good in this spot, but this kind of positive line movement (-6 to -4.5) hasn’t been a good omen in the Super Bowl. The teams that saw the line move at least 1.5 points away from them have gone 2-13 straight-up and 4-11 ATS. Evan Abrams

Trend to know No. 1: Public bettors don’t fade Tom Brady very often, but they haven’t had much success when doing so. Teams getting a majority of spread bets when facing TB12 have gone just 12-23-2 ATS (34.3%) since 2003. The Eagles were getting 54% of the betting tickets at the time of publication. John Ewing

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Credit:

Jan 31, 2018; Minneapolis, MN, USA; General overall view of Philadelphia Eagles and New England Patriots helmets at U.S. Bank Stadium prior to Super Bowl LII. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

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