Aaron Doster, USA Today Sports.
Betting odds: Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints
- Spread: Saints -12.5
- Over/Under: 60
- Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
- TV channel: NBC
>> All odds as of Wednesday evening. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets
Betting market: At the time of writing more than 60% of bets have come in on New Orleans, but the spread has moved the opposite direction.
The incredibly high total — which ranges from 59.5 and 61 depending on the book — is not high enough to deter the public.
Trend to know: When Drew Brees gets a real defense on his side, he becomes even more dangerous.
In our Bet Labs database (since 2003), Brees is 40-22 against the spread (64.5%) the game after his defense allows fewer than 200 yards passing. (The Saints allowed just 156 yards passing last week against the Eagles.)
As a favorite of more than a TD in this spot, Brees is 11-1 straight up and 9-3 ATS, including 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS at home. — Evan Abrams