The 3 Best Bills vs. Steelers Prop Bets & Picks for SNF
Photo credit: Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Devin Singletary
- Mike Randle identifies three of the best NFL prop bets for the Buffalo Bills vs. Pittsburgh Steelers matchup.
- Find his picks for the over/under on receiving yards props for Devin Singletary, Isaiah McKenzie and Devin Knox.
NFL player prop bets offer tremendous value on the board every week. They receive less action and money than NFL sides and totals, opening up attractive opportunities for bettors.
One of the best resources to help determine which prop bets to wager on is our FantasyLabs Player Props tool.
We leverage the listed prop bets against our player projections from Sean Koerner, the No. 1 in-season fantasy football ranker in three of the past four seasons.
Each prop bet receives a Bet Quality grade between 1 and 10, with 10 being the biggest edge.
Sunday Night Football Prop Bets
My Sunday night prop bets have hit at an 82.1% (32-7) rate this season. Let’s take a look at three props offering value for the Sunday Night Football showdown between the Buffalo Bills and Pittsburgh Steelers.
Odds as of Sunday morning. Check out FanDuel, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500.
WR Isaiah McKenzie
The Pick: Over 19.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Bet Quality: 9/10
The 24-year-old wideout with 4.42-mph speed saw over an 80% snap share against the Ravens in Week 14. McKenzie tallied three receptions on five targets.
With Pittsburgh’s defense now stifling both the run and pass, it is unlikely that Bills quarterback Josh Allen will provide much volume to lead receiver John Brown. Teammate Cole Beasley will also likely earn a focus from the Pittsburgh defense with a touchdown in three straight games.
McKenzie ranks top-20 among all wide receivers in target separation and is sixth in true catch rate.
Our projection of 23.7 receiving yards is 17% over the implied total of 20.4. I would bet this prop to -130.
Bills TE Dawson Knox
The Pick: Under 24.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Bet Quality: 7/10
Knox has enjoyed a breakout rookie season but has failed to reach this receiving yardage prop is eight of Buffalo’s 13 games.
The Steelers have allowed the eighth-fewest fantasy points to opposing tight ends, making Knox’s obstacles even greater in this SNF matchup at Pittsburgh.
Against a Steelers defense that ranks first in quarterback sacks and hits, Knox may be asked to block more, thus limiting his passing routes.
Our FantasyLabs projection of exactly 2 receptions is 8% below his implied total. I would bet this 7-rated prop to -120.
Bills RB Devin Singletary
The Pick: Under 20.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Bet Quality: 7/10
The Steelers defense is now one of the best in the league, and that is especially true against opposing running backs.
Pittsburgh has allowed just 15 fantasy points per game to opposing backfields, sixth-best in the league. Singletary has seen an increase in receptions, tallying nine over his past two games, but the yardage has been limited. In the Week 14 loss at home to Baltimore, Singletary totaled only 29 receiving yards on six receptions.
Look for the Pittsburgh front seven to limit Singletary’s receiving usage and challenge Allen to attack downfield.
We project Singletary for 19.2 receiving yards, which is 10% under his implied total of 21.2 receiving yards. I would bet this 7-rated prop up to -130.