Late Sharp Action Alert: Broncos-Raiders Spread Gets Hit by Pro Bettors

Late Sharp Action Alert: Broncos-Raiders Spread Gets Hit by Pro Bettors article feature image

Photo credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Derek Carr and Jon Gruden

  • The Broncos-Raiders spread has pinged between Denver -2.5 and -3 since the Raiders released WR Antonio Brown.
  • Using the Action Network's betting tools, let's analyze how sharp bettors are betting the Broncos-Raiders game (10:20 p.m. ET, ESPN).

I’m going to go out on a limb and say that most casual East coast football fans will hit the hay following Texans-Saints without indulging in Broncos-Raiders. Bettors, on the other hand, will have no problem staying up and tuning into what looks like a pretty crappy game on paper.

Sharp bettors will be especially interested in the matchup, as they’ve weighed in on the spread with some late action.

Broncos vs. Oakland Sharp Betting

  • Odds: Broncos -3
  • Total: 43
  • Time: 10:20 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN

All odds above as of Monday at 5:20 p.m. ET and via PointsBet, where Action Network users get an exclusive 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).

What a debacle this line has been thanks to Antonio Brown. Anyone holding a Broncos +2.5 ticket from way back in the day is sittin’ pretty right now.

Here’s a little timeline of how this spread has moved since opening — and how sharps chimed in late.

  • Late April/Early May: The Raiders open at -2.5.
  • Mid August: Continued support on the Broncos moves the line to a PK at many books.
  • September 5: Rumors of a potential AB suspension move the line to DEN -2.5.
  • September 6: Oh wait, never mind. The Raiders say he won’t be suspended and will play. The line moves down to DEN -1.
  • September 7: The Raiders weren’t lying. Brown is not suspended, but instead released. The line moves back to DEN -2.5.
  • September 9 morning: Broncos reach 71% of bets and 77% of dollars, causing books to finally move the line to the key number of -3.

That brings us up to the present.

Since moving to the key number of +3, the Raiders have seen some sharp bettors limping in. Not a total onslaught like we saw with games like Rams-Panthers yesterday, but enough to move the needle.

The dollar percentage, which I noted had topped out at 77% on Denver earlier today, is down to 66%. We’ve also tracked two bet signals on Raiders +3, more indication that the pros are willing to bet on the Brown-less Raiders if the price is right.

This game is quite similar to Lions-Cardinals from a betting perspective, as the Cardinals were being heavily faded by the public, but got some sharp support once the line hit +3. Can Derek Carr come back from an 18-point fourth-quarter deficit and lead the Raiders to a tie tonight? We shall see…

If you’re interested in joining the sharps on Raiders +3, that number is still posted at PointsBet, where Action Network users get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).

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