Late Sharp Action Alert: Broncos-Raiders Spread Gets Hit by Pro Bettors
Photo credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Derek Carr and Jon Gruden
- The Broncos-Raiders spread has pinged between Denver -2.5 and -3 since the Raiders released WR Antonio Brown.
- Using the Action Network's betting tools, let's analyze how sharp bettors are betting the Broncos-Raiders game (10:20 p.m. ET, ESPN).
I’m going to go out on a limb and say that most casual East coast football fans will hit the hay following Texans-Saints without indulging in Broncos-Raiders. Bettors, on the other hand, will have no problem staying up and tuning into what looks like a pretty crappy game on paper.
Sharp bettors will be especially interested in the matchup, as they’ve weighed in on the spread with some late action.
Broncos vs. Oakland Sharp Betting
- Odds: Broncos -3
- Total: 43
- Time: 10:20 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN
All odds above as of Monday at 5:20 p.m. ET and via PointsBet, where Action Network users get an exclusive 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).
What a debacle this line has been thanks to Antonio Brown. Anyone holding a Broncos +2.5 ticket from way back in the day is sittin’ pretty right now.
Here’s a little timeline of how this spread has moved since opening — and how sharps chimed in late.
- Late April/Early May: The Raiders open at -2.5.
- Mid August: Continued support on the Broncos moves the line to a PK at many books.
- September 5: Rumors of a potential AB suspension move the line to DEN -2.5.
- September 6: Oh wait, never mind. The Raiders say he won’t be suspended and will play. The line moves down to DEN -1.
- September 7: The Raiders weren’t lying. Brown is not suspended, but instead released. The line moves back to DEN -2.5.
- September 9 morning: Broncos reach 71% of bets and 77% of dollars, causing books to finally move the line to the key number of -3.
That brings us up to the present.
Since moving to the key number of +3, the Raiders have seen some sharp bettors limping in. Not a total onslaught like we saw with games like Rams-Panthers yesterday, but enough to move the needle.
The dollar percentage, which I noted had topped out at 77% on Denver earlier today, is down to 66%. We’ve also tracked two bet signals on Raiders +3, more indication that the pros are willing to bet on the Brown-less Raiders if the price is right.
This game is quite similar to Lions-Cardinals from a betting perspective, as the Cardinals were being heavily faded by the public, but got some sharp support once the line hit +3. Can Derek Carr come back from an 18-point fourth-quarter deficit and lead the Raiders to a tie tonight? We shall see…
If you’re interested in joining the sharps on Raiders +3, that number is still posted at PointsBet, where Action Network users get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).