How Sharps Are Betting Saturday Night’s Browns-Broncos Matchup
Scott R. Galvin-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Nick Chubb
- Sharp bettors are playing both the side and total of Saturday's Cleveland Browns-Denver Broncos matchup (8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network).
- Sports Insights' Bet Signals help reveal which way the smart money is going.
An NFL game on Saturday night. What a treat!
Sharp bettors seem to think so too, as they’ve been able to extract some value out of tonight’s Cleveland Browns-Denver Broncos matchup — both on the spread and over/under.
When this game opened early in the week, the Broncos were listed as 3.5-point home favorites. Bettors have been relatively split on the matchup, with Denver picking up 53% of tickets.
Despite that, by Saturday morning the line was down to -2.5 at most books. Why?
As PJ Walsh took note of a few days ago, bigger bets have been a driving force behind the line move.
Despite their 47% backing, the Browns have generated 74% of the money wagered on the game. And since sharps generally bet more than casual bettors, that discrepancy serves as a sign of potential sharp action.
On Saturday afternoon, though, we got some confirmation that sharps are indeed betting the Browns in the form of a Sports Insights Bet Signal.
The steam move came at a heavily juiced +3, and caused the entire market to shift this line down, continuing the movement toward Cleveland.
Most books are now listing the Browns’ spread at +2, but some shops have gone as far as making them just one-point dogs.
As mentioned, the over/under has also generated some wiseguy activity.
While betting percentages haven’t offered anything of note — the over is drawing 59% of bets and 52% of dollars — Bet Signals have revealed a sharp backing of the over.
Two signals, both triggered at a total of 46, have helped this number continue to climb from its opening number of 44 up to 47.