Bills-Texans Betting Preview: Should Houston Really Be Double-Digit Favorite?


Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Houston Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson (4) laughs at the line of scrimmage during the second half against the Dallas Cowboys at NRG Stadium.

Oct 14, 2018, 10:00 AM EDT

Betting odds: Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans

  • Spread: Texans -10  
  • Over/Under: 41
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • Channel: CBS

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets

Betting market: With Deshaun Watson’s status up in the air, this line didn’t open up until Wednesday.

Considering Houston hasn’t beaten any team by more than three points this season, early bettors had trouble locking in the Texans as such a large favorite and Houston is now getting fewer than 40% of bets (see live data here).

Nevertheless, the Texans have actually moved from -9.5 to -10 at a number of books. Given the low total of 41 — more than half of bettors have bet on the under — the Bills are implied to score a measly 15.5 points. — Mark Gallant

Trends to know: Can bettors trust the Texans as 10-point favorites? Since 2003, teams with a losing record favored by more than a touchdown have gone 60-74-1 (45%) against the spread (per our Bet Labs data). — John Ewing

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