Panthers-Redskins Betting Preview: Sharps and Squares on Opposite Sides in D.C.

Panthers-Redskins Betting Preview: Sharps and Squares on Opposite Sides in D.C. article feature image

USA Today Sports. Pictured: D.J. Swearinger, Josh Norman

Betting odds: Carolina Panthers at Washington Redskins

  • Spread: Redskins -1
  • Over/Under: 44.5
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • Channel: FOX

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets

Betting market: This game certainly has a pros vs. Joes feeling to it, as the Panthers, who are getting more than 70% of spread and moneyline bets, have gone from -1/PK to +1/+1.5 at the time of writing (see live betting data here). —Mark Gallant

Trends to know: Washington lost, 43-19, to New Orleans on Monday Night Football.

Teams that lost their previous game by 20 or more points have gone 406-339-17 (55%) against the spread since 2003. — John Ewing

In Cam Newton’s career, the over is 36-23 (61%) when the Panthers are on the road. — Evan Abrams

Biggest mismatch: Panthers run offense vs. Redskins run defense

The Redskins defense is 30th in run DVOA, while the Panthers offense is fourth. The Redskins defensive line is 30th with 5.21 adjusted line yards allowed per run; the Panthers offensive line is second with a mark of 5.03.

In particular, the Redskins are most vulnerable on runs up the middle (31st, 5.28 adjusted line yards) and around left end (28th, 6.04). Can you guess where the Panthers have been the strongest? Up the middle (first, 5.22) and around left end (first, 10.05).

Newton and running back Christian McCaffrey should punish the Redskins via the ground game. — Matthew Freedman

Which team is healthier? Panthers

Tight end Greg Olsen (foot) is tentatively expected to suit up Sunday, along with defensive tackle Kawann Short (ankle).

Meanwhile, the Redskins are all sorts of banged up. Paul Richardson (knee), Adrian Peterson (shoulder), Vernon Davis (hamstring), Chris Thompson (ribs), Josh Doctson (heel) and Jamison Crowder (ankle) either didn’t practice or were limited to start the week.

Note: Info as of 6 p.m. ET Thursday. See our Injury Dashboard for daily practice participation and game statuses up until kickoff. — Ian Hartitz

DFS edge: McCaffrey is set up well in Week 6 against Pro Football Focus’ worst-ranked run defense.

Along with having a solid receiving role (25% target share), McCaffrey is developing an excellent rushing floor, something we never saw last season.

He has 45 carries over his last two games and presently owns the third-highest median and floor projection in our FantasyLabs Player Models. —Justin Bailey

Bet to watch: Washington -1

There’s a lot of buzz about the returns of Olsen and Panthers linebacker Thomas Davis, and the market’s memory is still filled with images of Washington’s non-competitive second half against New Orleans on Monday night.

Josh Norman is allowing long touchdowns, and then getting into Twitter battles with the opposing receiver. I can almost picture the graphic “ARE THE REDSKINS IN PANIC MODE?” on my television.

Seems like a buy-low opportunity on the Redskins, who aren’t nearly as bad as what they showed in New Orleans. Meanwhile, Carolina just struggled to beat the Giants and now goes on the road.

I’m not sure there’s even a two-point difference between these teams (when taking out home-field advantage). — Ken Barkley

Editor’s note: The opinions on this game are from the individual writers and are based on their research, analysis and perspective. They are independent of, and may not always match with, the algorithm-driven Best Bets from Sports Insights.